Marines vs Gorilla: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Marines play Gorilla in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match date is 22 November 2025 at 14:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Marines: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Gorilla: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Marines scores 1.38 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Gorilla scores 0.91 and concedes 1.24. League average: 2.12 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Marines 59%, Gorilla 56%. Over 2.5: Marines 44%, Gorilla 47%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.

xG, shots and style

Marines has higher xG: 1.16 vs 0.88. Marines: 6.9 shots per match, Gorilla: 5.1.

Match halves

Marines: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.53. Gorilla: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.35.

Goals by minute

Marines: 31-45+ (16 goals). Gorilla: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

50Possession (%)50
MarinesGorilla
6Shots4
MarinesGorilla
2Shots on target0
MarinesGorilla
1.07xG0.79
MarinesGorilla
4Corners4
MarinesGorilla
76Dangerous attacks73
MarinesGorilla
-1Fouls-1
MarinesGorilla
-1Cards-1
MarinesGorilla

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.38Goals scored / match0.91
MarinesGorilla
1.26Goals conceded / match1.24
MarinesGorilla
44%Average possession48%
MarinesGorilla
2.85Shots on target / match1.88
MarinesGorilla

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.94Shots per match5.12
MarinesGorilla
2.85Shots on target1.88
MarinesGorilla
19.9%Shot conversion17.8%
MarinesGorilla
44%Possession48%
MarinesGorilla
1.16xG for0.88
MarinesGorilla
1.18xG against1.12
MarinesGorilla

Shooting quality

Marines: Counter-attackingGorilla: Efficient finishing
MarinesGorilla
Accuracy (shots on target)41%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.17
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.480.48

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Marines
WLLDW
Season result split
35% W26% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-9-13
1.32 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-6-4
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LDLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.11Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Gorilla
WLDLW
Season result split
29% W29% R41% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-10-14
1.18 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-5-8
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WLWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 0.78Opponent xG: 1.28BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Marines is 52% better for: goals scored per match.

1.38 goals / match - Marines · 0.91 goals / match - Gorilla

Marines scoring profile: very strong

Marines scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Gorilla keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).

Gorilla scoring profile: strong

Gorilla scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Marines keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).

47Goals scored (season)31
MarinesGorilla
43Goals conceded (season)42
MarinesGorilla
2.65Average goals in match2.15
MarinesGorilla
11Goals scored (last 5)7
MarinesGorilla
8Goals conceded (last 5)9
MarinesGorilla

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal68%
MarinesGorilla
41%2 goals21%
MarinesGorilla
12%3 goals3%
MarinesGorilla
3%4 goals0%
MarinesGorilla

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal76%
MarinesGorilla
35%2 goals29%
MarinesGorilla
9%3 goals12%
MarinesGorilla
3%4 goals6%
MarinesGorilla

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time18%
MarinesGorilla
9%BTTS in both halves0%
MarinesGorilla
24%Scored in both halves6%
MarinesGorilla

BTTS and goal count

41%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
MarinesGorilla
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
MarinesGorilla
80%BTTS - last 580%
MarinesGorilla

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
MarinesGorilla
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
MarinesGorilla
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
MarinesGorilla

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time74%
MarinesGorilla
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time26%
MarinesGorilla
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
MarinesGorilla

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Marines is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.68 pts / match - Marines · 1.35 pts / match - Gorilla

Marines - half-time state
44% leading35% draw21% trailing
Gorilla - half-time state
29% leading47% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.68Points per match (1st half)1.35
MarinesGorilla
0.85Goals scored (1st half)0.56
MarinesGorilla
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.53
MarinesGorilla
1.35Average goals (1st half)1.09
MarinesGorilla
56%Clean sheet before half-time62%
MarinesGorilla
38%No goal before half-time56%
MarinesGorilla

After half-time (2nd half)

1.09Points per match (2nd half)0.94
MarinesGorilla
0.53Goals scored (2nd half)0.35
MarinesGorilla
0.76Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
MarinesGorilla
1.29Average goals (2nd half)1.06
MarinesGorilla
47%Clean sheet after half-time44%
MarinesGorilla
56%No goal after half-time71%
MarinesGorilla

Marines - second-half results

24% W38% R38% P
57
Half-time points
29
Half-time goals
+12
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.68
PPG before half-time
Lead holding80%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 35%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Gorilla - second-half results

21% W32% R47% P
46
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
-12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.35
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Marines - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.00
Goals scored / match1.21.0
Goals conceded / match1.00.6
Average goals in match2.21.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals100%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 6
Gorilla - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.400.60
Goals scored / match1.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.41.4
Average goals in match1.41.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%0%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+3-5
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Marines
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
8
6
16-30
16
9
31-45
2
8
46-60
7
8
61-75
9
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Gorilla
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
7
4
16-30
8
11
31-45
1
8
46-60
6
6
61-75
5
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.40
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
58%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Marines

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
123%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
126%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Gorilla

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

MarinesLigaGorilla
Average goals in match 2.652.12 2.15
Both teams scored 59%46% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 44%38% 47%
Clean sheets 24%34% 24%
Goal before half-time 82%61% 65%
Goal after half-time 74%70% 74%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.12
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.12
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Marines 0 - 1 - 0 Gorilla. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Marines vs Gorilla?

The National Soccer League match finished Marines 1:0 Gorilla. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Marines vs Gorilla?

Marines score 1.38 goals per game on average and Gorilla 0.91. The National Soccer League average is 2.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Marines's matches and 56% of Gorilla's.

What form are Marines and Gorilla in?

Over the last 5 games Marines have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Gorilla 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Marines vs Gorilla?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.