Marsa vs Gabès: match statistics
Marsa presents significantly better form and statistics in home matches than Gabès does on the road. The hosts have won 44% of their matches at home and hold a more favorable goal difference (-2 compared to -14 for the guests), while Gabès has not won a single away match this season (0% wins). The average xG for Marsa in home matches is 1.59 compared to just 0.94 xG for Gabès away, indicating a significant offensive advantage for the hosts. The visitors concede an average of 2 goals per away match and have a dismal streak of 9 games without an away victory. Additionally, Marsa has better possession (56% vs 41%) and more shots on goal (5.56 vs 3.13), confirming their domination. All indicators point to a clear advantage for the hosts, who should capitalize on their home field advantage.
Marsa vs Gabès: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Marsa played against Gabès in Ligue 1 (Tunisia). The game was played on January 28, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Marsa has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Gabès has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Marsa scores 0.94 goals per game and allows 1.00. Gabès scores 0.53 and allows 1.35. Games in this league average 1.79 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 18% of Marsa's games and 41% of Gabès's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 41%, compared with league averages of 28% for BTTS and 29% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Marsa has the higher season xG average, 1.51 to 1.04 per game. Marsa takes 11.7 shots per game, while Gabès takes 7.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Marsa leads at halftime in 12% of its games and scores 0.59 goals per game after halftime. Gabès leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.18 after halftime.
When the teams score
Marsa's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). For Gabès, it is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligue 1 games average 1.79 goals. Both teams score in 28% of games, and 29% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Marsa presents significantly better form and statistics in home matches than Gabès does on the road. The hosts have won 44% of their matches at home and hold a more favorable goal difference (-2 compared to -14 for the guests), while Gabès has not won a single away match this season (0% wins). The average xG for Marsa in home matches is 1.59 compared to just 0.94 xG for Gabès away, indicating a significant offensive advantage for the hosts. The visitors concede an average of 2 goals per away match and have a dismal streak of 9 games without an away victory. Additionally, Marsa has better possession (56% vs 41%) and more shots on goal (5.56 vs 3.13), confirming their domination. All indicators point to a clear advantage for the hosts, who should capitalize on their home field advantage.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Marsa | Gabès | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Marsa is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Marsa · 0.8 pts / game - Gabès
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Marsa is 77% better for: goals scored per game.
0.94 goals / game - Marsa · 0.53 goals / game - Gabès
Marsa is 35% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Marsa · 1.35 goals / game - Gabès
Marsa scores in 47% of games (8 of 17 meczów), while Gabès keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 meczów).
Gabès scores in 47% of games (8 of 17 meczów), while Marsa keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Marsa
Over / Under - Gabès
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gabès is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.82 pts / game - Marsa · 1.18 pts / game - Gabès
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Marsa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 12% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Gabès - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 12%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Marsa
Gabès
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Marsa | Liga | Gabès | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 1.94 | 1.79 | • 1.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 18% | 28% | ▲ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 29% | 29% | ▲ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 35% | 45% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 65% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 65% | 59% | ▲ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Marsa's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Gabès. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Marsa vs Gabès?
The Ligue 1 match finished Marsa 1:0 Gabès. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Marsa vs Gabès?
Marsa score 0.94 goals per game on average and Gabès 0.53. The Ligue 1 average is 1.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 18% of Marsa's matches and 41% of Gabès's.
What form are Marsa and Gabès in?
Over the last 5 games Marsa have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Gabès 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Marsa vs Gabès?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Marsa vs Gabès: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.