Marsa vs Gabès: match statistics
Marsa presents significantly better form and statistics in home matches than Gabès does on the road. The hosts have won 44% of their matches at home and hold a more favorable goal difference (-2 compared to -14 for the guests), while Gabès has not won a single away match this season (0% wins). The average xG for Marsa in home matches is 1.59 compared to just 0.94 xG for Gabès away, indicating a significant offensive advantage for the hosts. The visitors concede an average of 2 goals per away match and have a dismal streak of 9 games without an away victory. Additionally, Marsa has better possession (56% vs 41%) and more shots on goal (5.56 vs 3.13), confirming their domination. All indicators point to a clear advantage for the hosts, who should capitalize on their home field advantage.
Marsa vs Gabès: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Marsa play Gabès in Ligue 1 (Tunisia). The match date is 28 January 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Marsa: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Gabès: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Marsa scores 0.87 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Gabès scores 0.37 and concedes 1.23. League average: 1.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Marsa 20%, Gabès 27%. Over 2.5: Marsa 33%, Gabès 23%. League level: BTTS 26%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Marsa has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.01. Marsa: 10.1 shots per match, Gabès: 7.4.
Match halves
Marsa: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.47. Gabès: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.13.
Goals by minute
Marsa: 0-15 (6 goals). Gabès: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 1.73 goals per match, BTTS 26%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Marsa presents significantly better form and statistics in home matches than Gabès does on the road. The hosts have won 44% of their matches at home and hold a more favorable goal difference (-2 compared to -14 for the guests), while Gabès has not won a single away match this season (0% wins). The average xG for Marsa in home matches is 1.59 compared to just 0.94 xG for Gabès away, indicating a significant offensive advantage for the hosts. The visitors concede an average of 2 goals per away match and have a dismal streak of 9 games without an away victory. Additionally, Marsa has better possession (56% vs 41%) and more shots on goal (5.56 vs 3.13), confirming their domination. All indicators point to a clear advantage for the hosts, who should capitalize on their home field advantage.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Marsa | Gabès | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.13 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Marsa is 600% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Marsa · 0.2 pts / match - Gabès
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Marsa is 135% better for: goals scored per match.
0.87 goals / match - Marsa · 0.37 goals / match - Gabès
Marsa is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - Marsa · 1.23 goals / match - Gabès
Marsa scores in 50% of matches (15 of 30 matches), while Gabès keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
Gabès scores in 33% of matches (10 of 30 matches), while Marsa keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Marsa
Over / Under — Gabès
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Marsa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Gabès - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 10%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Marsa
Gabès
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Marsa | Liga | Gabès | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 1.97 | 1.73 | ▼ 1.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 20% | 26% | • 27% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 33% | 27% | ▼ 23% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 45% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 60% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 67% | 60% | ▲ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Marsa 0 - 0 - 1 Gabès. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Marsa vs Gabès?
The Ligue 1 match finished Marsa 1:0 Gabès. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Marsa vs Gabès?
Marsa score 0.87 goals per game on average and Gabès 0.37. The Ligue 1 average is 1.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 20% of Marsa's matches and 27% of Gabès's.
What form are Marsa and Gabès in?
Over the last 5 games Marsa have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Gabès 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Marsa vs Gabès?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Marsa vs Gabès: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.