Marsa vs Zarzis: match statistics
Marsa vs Zarzis: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Marsa play Zarzis in Ligue 1 (Tunisia). The match date is 30 April 2026 at 16:30. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Marsa: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Zarzis: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Marsa scores 0.87 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Zarzis scores 1.00 and concedes 0.93. League average: 1.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Marsa 20%, Zarzis 30%. Over 2.5: Marsa 33%, Zarzis 37%. League level: BTTS 26%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Marsa has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.20. Marsa: 10.1 shots per match, Zarzis: 7.5.
Match halves
Marsa: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.47. Zarzis: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Marsa: 0-15 (6 goals). Zarzis: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 1.73 goals per match, BTTS 26%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back the away win (2) because Zarzis shows superior form and efficiency recently: unbeaten in their last five matches (four draws, one win) and averaging 1.4 points per game, while Marsa in the same period has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses with 0.8 points per game. Marsa at home scores only 0.69 goals per game with xG 1.60, indicating significant finishing inefficiency (conversion ~5%), whereas Zarzis away scores 1.15 goals with xG 1.21 and has a conversion of ~14%. The hosts create more chances (avg. 12.85 shots and 5.08 on target per game, 55% possession) but it does not translate into goals; the gap between xG 1.60 and actual 0.69 goals is clear underperformance. Defensively the teams are similar: Marsa concedes 1.08 goals per game at home, Zarzis concedes 1.15 on the road, however in the last 5 matches Marsa conceded 5 goals versus Zarzis' 3. Given the hosts' low finishing and Zarzis' stable and more clinical chance conversion (1.15 goals away and 14% conversion), I estimate a 45% probability for an away win, 35% for a draw and 20% for a Marsa win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Marsa | Zarzis | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Zarzis is 71% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Marsa · 2.4 pts / match - Zarzis
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Zarzis is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
0.87 goals / match - Marsa · 1 goals / match - Zarzis
Zarzis is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - Marsa · 0.93 goals / match - Zarzis
Marsa scores in 50% of matches (15 of 30 matches), while Zarzis keeps a clean sheet in 40% (12 of 30 matches).
Zarzis scores in 53% of matches (16 of 30 matches), while Marsa keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Marsa
Over / Under — Zarzis
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Zarzis is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.03 pts / match - Marsa · 1.17 pts / match - Zarzis
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Marsa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Zarzis - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Marsa
Zarzis
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Marsa | Liga | Zarzis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 1.97 | 1.73 | ▲ 1.93 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 20% | 26% | ▲ 30% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 33% | 27% | ▲ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 45% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 60% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 67% | 60% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Marsa 1 - 0 - 0 Zarzis. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Marsa vs Zarzis?
The Ligue 1 match finished Marsa 1:0 Zarzis. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Marsa vs Zarzis?
Marsa score 0.87 goals per game on average and Zarzis 1.00. The Ligue 1 average is 1.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 20% of Marsa's matches and 30% of Zarzis's.
What form are Marsa and Zarzis in?
Over the last 5 games Marsa have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Zarzis 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Marsa vs Zarzis?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Marsa vs Zarzis: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.