Marsaxlokk vs Hibernians: match statistics
Marsaxlokk display solid home form with 56% wins and only 22% losses at their own stadium, giving them a psychological advantage. Hibernians, however, show a much weaker away performance – just 29% wins and as many as 43% losses, without keeping a single clean sheet in away matches. Despite this, Hibernians are in excellent form in their last five matches (4 wins, 1 draw) with 2.6 points per game, while Marsaxlokk average 2.0 points. xG analysis indicates a slight advantage for the visitors (1.31 vs 1.06 for the hosts), suggesting a somewhat better quality of chances created. Taking into account Marsaxlokk's home solidity and Hibernians' good current form alongside their poor away results, I expect a balanced, fierce encounter with the highest probability of a draw.
Marsaxlokk vs Hibernians: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Marsaxlokk played against Hibernians in Maltese Premier League (Malta). The game was played on February 15, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Marsaxlokk has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Hibernians has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Marsaxlokk scores 1.24 goals per game and allows 1.05. Hibernians scores 1.71 and allows 1.48. Games in this league average 2.53 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 52% of Marsaxlokk's games and 62% of Hibernians's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 57%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Hibernians has the higher season xG average, 1.20 to 1.15 per game. Marsaxlokk takes 7.9 shots per game, while Hibernians takes 7.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Marsaxlokk leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Hibernians leads at halftime in 33% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Marsaxlokk's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). For Hibernians, it is minutes 16-30 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Maltese Premier League games average 2.53 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Marsaxlokk display solid home form with 56% wins and only 22% losses at their own stadium, giving them a psychological advantage. Hibernians, however, show a much weaker away performance – just 29% wins and as many as 43% losses, without keeping a single clean sheet in away matches. Despite this, Hibernians are in excellent form in their last five matches (4 wins, 1 draw) with 2.6 points per game, while Marsaxlokk average 2.0 points. xG analysis indicates a slight advantage for the visitors (1.31 vs 1.06 for the hosts), suggesting a somewhat better quality of chances created. Taking into account Marsaxlokk's home solidity and Hibernians' good current form alongside their poor away results, I expect a balanced, fierce encounter with the highest probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Marsaxlokk | Hibernians | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.48 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hibernians is 38% better for: goals scored per game.
1.24 goals / game - Marsaxlokk · 1.71 goals / game - Hibernians
Marsaxlokk is 41% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.05 goals / game - Marsaxlokk · 1.48 goals / game - Hibernians
Marsaxlokk scores in 76% of games (16 of 21 meczów), while Hibernians keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 meczów).
Hibernians scores in 76% of games (16 of 21 meczów), while Marsaxlokk keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Marsaxlokk
Over / Under - Hibernians
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hibernians is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / game - Marsaxlokk · 1.38 pts / game - Hibernians
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Marsaxlokk - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Hibernians - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Marsaxlokk
Hibernians
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Maltese Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Marsaxlokk | Liga | Hibernians | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.29 | 2.53 | ▲ 3.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 48% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 48% | 44% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 30% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 69% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 73% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Marsaxlokk's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Hibernians. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Marsaxlokk vs Hibernians?
The Maltese Premier League match finished Marsaxlokk 2:1 Hibernians. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Marsaxlokk vs Hibernians?
Marsaxlokk score 1.24 goals per game on average and Hibernians 1.71. The Maltese Premier League average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Marsaxlokk's matches and 62% of Hibernians's.
What form are Marsaxlokk and Hibernians in?
Over the last 5 games Marsaxlokk have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Hibernians 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Marsaxlokk vs Hibernians?
The statistical background for Marsaxlokk vs Hibernians — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.