Mashujaa vs Polisi Morogoro: match statistics
Mashujaa vs Polisi Morogoro: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mashujaa played against Polisi Morogoro in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The game was played on October 8, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Mashujaa has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Polisi Morogoro has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Mashujaa scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.00. Polisi Morogoro scores 1.50 and allows 1.17. Games in this league average 2.47 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Mashujaa's games and 50% of Polisi Morogoro's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 33%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 41% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Polisi Morogoro has the higher season xG average, 1.58 to 1.32 per game. Mashujaa takes 6.0 shots per game, while Polisi Morogoro takes 9.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Mashujaa leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Polisi Morogoro leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mashujaa's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). For Polisi Morogoro, it is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligi kuu Bara games average 2.47 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 41% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mashujaa have won both of their home matches so far, scoring an average of 2 goals and conceding 1, while Polisi Morogoro average 1.5 goals scored and 2 conceded away from home. The hosts allow chances worth 1.07 xG per match at home, significantly fewer than the visitors do away (1.86 xG), which points to Mashujaa despite the small gap in the quality of chances created: 1.35 to 1.24 xG. Polisi have shown better recent form, winning 3 of their last 5 matches compared with Mashujaa's 2, and scoring 8 goals during that period to the hosts' 5. However, both teams have conceded 6 goals in their last five matches, so home advantage and the visitors' weaker away defense tip the prediction in Mashujaa's favor.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have averaged 1.5 goals per match, and neither has yet finished a match without scoring, which points towards goals at both ends. Mashujaa create chances worth an average of 1.8 xG, while Polisi Morogoro allow opponents 1.86 xG, making a home goal look likely. The visitors also have reason to find the net: they have averaged 1.6 goals in their last 5 matches, while Mashujaa have conceded 1.2. Caution is warranted, however, as both teams have landed BTTS in 50% of their matches, and the hosts have conceded just 0.75 goals per game on average this season. Even so, the attacking numbers of both sides give a slight edge to the scenario in which both teams score (BTTS - Yes / Goal/Goal).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Mashujaa average 1.5 goals and generate an xG of 1.80, while Polisi Morogoro concede an average of 2.0 goals, pointing to scoring opportunities for the home side. The visitors also average 1.5 goals, although the hosts concede just 0.75 goals per match, so I assess their contribution more cautiously. Over 1.5 goals is supported by both teams having scored in every match played so far, with this total reached in 100% of Mashujaa matches and 50% of Polisi Morogoro matches. The higher line is less convincing: Over 2.5 goals has landed in only 25% of the hosts' matches, while the league average is 2.47 goals. With a forecast of 2.68 goals, the strongest signal is therefore Over 1.5 goals, without needing to assume a particularly high-scoring game.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Polisi Morogoro led at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Mashujaa had not led at half-time in any of them and had scored no first-half goals. The visitors won 3 of those 5 matches and averaged 1.6 goals, compared with 2 wins and 1.0 goal per game for the hosts. The visitors’ ability to hold their lead is supported by the fact that they conceded an average of just 0.2 goals in the second halves of their last 5 matches and kept 4 clean sheets. Therefore, the visitors leading at half-time and winning at full-time is the strongest single HT/FT scenario, although the hosts’ home xG of 1.80, compared with the visitors’ away xG of 1.24, limits confidence in this pick.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mashujaa | Polisi Morogoro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Polisi Morogoro is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Mashujaa · 1.8 pts / game - Polisi Morogoro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Polisi Morogoro is 50% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Mashujaa · 1.5 goals / game - Polisi Morogoro
Mashujaa is 17% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Mashujaa · 1.17 goals / game - Polisi Morogoro
Mashujaa scores in 67% of games (4 of 6 games), while Polisi Morogoro keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 games).
Polisi Morogoro scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 games), while Mashujaa keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mashujaa
Over / Under - Polisi Morogoro
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Polisi Morogoro is 149% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.67 pts / game - Mashujaa · 1.67 pts / game - Polisi Morogoro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mashujaa - second-half results
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Polisi Morogoro - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mashujaa
Polisi Morogoro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Mashujaa | Liga | Polisi Morogoro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.00 | 2.47 | ▲ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 41% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 28% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 73% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 71% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- MashujaaGoalMishamo Daud Michael
FAQ
What was the result of Mashujaa vs Polisi Morogoro?
The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Mashujaa 2:1 Polisi Morogoro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mashujaa vs Polisi Morogoro?
Mashujaa score 1.00 goals per game on average and Polisi Morogoro 1.50. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Mashujaa's matches and 50% of Polisi Morogoro's.
What form are Mashujaa and Polisi Morogoro in?
Over the last 5 games Mashujaa have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Polisi Morogoro 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mashujaa vs Polisi Morogoro?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.