Mathare United vs Murang'a SEAL: match statistics
Murang'a SEAL presents decidedly better form and statistics in this clash. The visitors are unbeaten in their last five matches (2 wins, 3 draws) and have scored 6 goals while conceding only 3, whereas Mathare United has won just 2 of their last 5 games. The key advantage for the visitors is visible in away matches – a Win% of 29% and Draw% of 57% are significantly better results than the hosts' 33% home wins with a staggering 67% losses. Murang'a SEAL holds a positive goal difference on the road (+2) and a higher average of goals scored (1.43 vs 0.83), which, given similar xG values, indicates better efficiency. The hosts' form run (lllwlw at home) shows instability, while the visitors are on a wlddddw streak in recent away games. Taking all statistical data into account, Murang'a SEAL has a realistic chance of securing three points, though a draw is also probable given the visitors' tendency to split points (57% draws away).
Mathare United vs Murang'a SEAL: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mathare United played against Murang'a SEAL in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The game was played on January 10, 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Mathare United has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Murang'a SEAL has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Mathare United scores 0.60 goals per game and allows 0.80. Murang'a SEAL scores 1.13 and allows 1.13. Games in this league average 1.91 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 20% of Mathare United's games and 60% of Murang'a SEAL's. The Over 2.5 rates are 13% and 40%, compared with league averages of 40% for BTTS and 30% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mathare United has the higher season xG average, 1.59 to 1.45 per game. Mathare United takes 12.7 shots per game, while Murang'a SEAL takes 11.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Mathare United leads at halftime in 13% of its games and scores 0.27 goals per game after halftime. Murang'a SEAL leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.47 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mathare United's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). For Murang'a SEAL, it is minutes 0-15 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kenyan Premier League games average 1.91 goals. Both teams score in 40% of games, and 30% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Murang'a SEAL presents decidedly better form and statistics in this clash. The visitors are unbeaten in their last five matches (2 wins, 3 draws) and have scored 6 goals while conceding only 3, whereas Mathare United has won just 2 of their last 5 games. The key advantage for the visitors is visible in away matches – a Win% of 29% and Draw% of 57% are significantly better results than the hosts' 33% home wins with a staggering 67% losses. Murang'a SEAL holds a positive goal difference on the road (+2) and a higher average of goals scored (1.43 vs 0.83), which, given similar xG values, indicates better efficiency. The hosts' form run (lllwlw at home) shows instability, while the visitors are on a wlddddw streak in recent away games. Taking all statistical data into account, Murang'a SEAL has a realistic chance of securing three points, though a draw is also probable given the visitors' tendency to split points (57% draws away).
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mathare United | Murang'a SEAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 24% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Murang'a SEAL is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Mathare United · 1.6 pts / game - Murang'a SEAL
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Murang'a SEAL is 88% better for: goals scored per game.
0.6 goals / game - Mathare United · 1.13 goals / game - Murang'a SEAL
Mathare United is 41% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.8 goals / game - Mathare United · 1.13 goals / game - Murang'a SEAL
Mathare United scores in 53% of games (8 of 15 meczów), while Murang'a SEAL keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 meczów).
Murang'a SEAL scores in 73% of games (11 of 15 meczów), while Mathare United keeps a clean sheet in 47% (7 of 15 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mathare United
Over / Under - Murang'a SEAL
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mathare United is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / game - Mathare United · 0.93 pts / game - Murang'a SEAL
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mathare United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Murang'a SEAL - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mathare United
Murang'a SEAL
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mathare United | Liga | Murang'a SEAL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.40 | 1.91 | ▲ 2.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 20% | 40% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 13% | 30% | ▲ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 38% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 27% | 34% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 40% | 36% | ▲ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Mathare United vs Murang'a SEAL?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Mathare United 0:2 Murang'a SEAL. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mathare United vs Murang'a SEAL?
Mathare United score 0.60 goals per game on average and Murang'a SEAL 1.13. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 20% of Mathare United's matches and 60% of Murang'a SEAL's.
What form are Mathare United and Murang'a SEAL in?
Over the last 5 games Mathare United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Murang'a SEAL 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mathare United vs Murang'a SEAL?
The statistical background for Mathare United vs Murang'a SEAL — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.