Mathare United vs Tusker: match statistics
Tusker presents decidedly better form than Mathare United, confirmed by the record of the last five matches – 4 victories for the guests against just 2 wins for the hosts. Mathare United has a dismal home record with 67% losses and only 33% wins, while Tusker demonstrates impressive efficiency away with 63% wins and 63% clean sheets. The difference in average goals conceded is distinct – Mathare concedes an average of 1.17 goals at home, while Tusker concedes only 0.5 away. Additionally, Tusker has a positive goal difference (+4) in away matches, whereas the hosts have a negative one (-2) in home games. The guests' form (wwwlw) and the hosts' weakness (wldwl) point to an advantage for Tusker, who should secure the full three points in this clash.
Mathare United vs Tusker: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mathare United played against Tusker in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The game was played on February 6, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Mathare United has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Tusker has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Mathare United scores 0.63 goals per game and allows 0.89. Tusker scores 0.89 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 1.99 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 26% of Mathare United's games and 42% of Tusker's. The Over 2.5 rates are 16% and 32%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 33% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mathare United has the higher season xG average, 1.59 to 1.52 per game. Mathare United takes 12.8 shots per game, while Tusker takes 11.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Mathare United leads at halftime in 11% of its games and scores 0.21 goals per game after halftime. Tusker leads at halftime in 16% and scores 0.32 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mathare United's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). For Tusker, it is minutes 0-15 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kenyan Premier League games average 1.99 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 33% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tusker presents decidedly better form than Mathare United, confirmed by the record of the last five matches – 4 victories for the guests against just 2 wins for the hosts. Mathare United has a dismal home record with 67% losses and only 33% wins, while Tusker demonstrates impressive efficiency away with 63% wins and 63% clean sheets. The difference in average goals conceded is distinct – Mathare concedes an average of 1.17 goals at home, while Tusker concedes only 0.5 away. Additionally, Tusker has a positive goal difference (+4) in away matches, whereas the hosts have a negative one (-2) in home games. The guests' form (wwwlw) and the hosts' weakness (wldwl) point to an advantage for Tusker, who should secure the full three points in this clash.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mathare United | Tusker | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Tusker is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Mathare United · 1.4 pts / game - Tusker
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tusker is 41% better for: goals scored per game.
0.63 goals / game - Mathare United · 0.89 goals / game - Tusker
Mathare United is 12% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.89 goals / game - Mathare United · 1 goals / game - Tusker
Mathare United scores in 58% of games (11 of 19 meczów), while Tusker keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 meczów).
Tusker scores in 74% of games (14 of 19 meczów), while Mathare United keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mathare United
Over / Under - Tusker
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mathare United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Tusker - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mathare United
Tusker
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mathare United | Liga | Tusker | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.53 | 1.99 | ▼ 1.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 26% | 43% | • 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 16% | 33% | • 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 36% | • 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 26% | 29% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 37% | 32% | • 32% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Mathare United's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Tusker. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Mathare United vs Tusker?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Mathare United 3:1 Tusker. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mathare United vs Tusker?
Mathare United score 0.63 goals per game on average and Tusker 0.89. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 26% of Mathare United's matches and 42% of Tusker's.
What form are Mathare United and Tusker in?
Over the last 5 games Mathare United have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Tusker 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mathare United vs Tusker?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.