Mathare United vs Ulinzi Stars: match statistics
Ulinzi Stars perform significantly better in away fixtures than Mathare United does at home. The hosts possess a disastrous home record, suffering 67% losses with only 33% wins, conceding an average of 1.17 goals per match. Conversely, Ulinzi Stars display superior efficiency on the road with a 38% win rate and a neutral goal difference (GD=0), averaging 1 goal per away match. Mathare United remains winless in their last three home games, while the visitors have demonstrated greater stability over their last eight away outings. Key differentiators include Ulinzi Stars' higher scoring output (15 season goals vs. 9 for the hosts) and superior away clean sheet percentage (38% vs. 33%). While the data supports an away victory, the poor recent form of both sides suggests a draw remains a plausible outcome.
Mathare United vs Ulinzi Stars: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mathare United played against Ulinzi Stars in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The game was played on January 15, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Mathare United has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Ulinzi Stars has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Mathare United scores 0.56 goals per game and allows 0.88. Ulinzi Stars scores 1.00 and allows 1.06. Games in this league average 1.92 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 19% of Mathare United's games and 56% of Ulinzi Stars's. The Over 2.5 rates are 13% and 44%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 30% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mathare United has the higher season xG average, 1.59 to 1.48 per game. Mathare United takes 12.9 shots per game, while Ulinzi Stars takes 10.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Mathare United leads at halftime in 13% of its games and scores 0.25 goals per game after halftime. Ulinzi Stars leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.19 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mathare United's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). For Ulinzi Stars, it is minutes 0-15 (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kenyan Premier League games average 1.92 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 30% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ulinzi Stars perform significantly better in away fixtures than Mathare United does at home. The hosts possess a disastrous home record, suffering 67% losses with only 33% wins, conceding an average of 1.17 goals per match. Conversely, Ulinzi Stars display superior efficiency on the road with a 38% win rate and a neutral goal difference (GD=0), averaging 1 goal per away match. Mathare United remains winless in their last three home games, while the visitors have demonstrated greater stability over their last eight away outings. Key differentiators include Ulinzi Stars' higher scoring output (15 season goals vs. 9 for the hosts) and superior away clean sheet percentage (38% vs. 33%). While the data supports an away victory, the poor recent form of both sides suggests a draw remains a plausible outcome.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mathare United | Ulinzi Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 24% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ulinzi Stars is 79% better for: goals scored per game.
0.56 goals / game - Mathare United · 1 goals / game - Ulinzi Stars
Mathare United is 20% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.88 goals / game - Mathare United · 1.06 goals / game - Ulinzi Stars
Mathare United scores in 50% of games (8 of 16 meczów), while Ulinzi Stars keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 meczów).
Ulinzi Stars scores in 75% of games (12 of 16 meczów), while Mathare United keeps a clean sheet in 44% (7 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mathare United
Over / Under - Ulinzi Stars
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mathare United is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / game - Mathare United · 0.81 pts / game - Ulinzi Stars
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mathare United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Ulinzi Stars - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mathare United
Ulinzi Stars
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mathare United | Liga | Ulinzi Stars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.44 | 1.92 | ▲ 2.06 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 19% | 41% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 13% | 30% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 38% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 31% | 33% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 44% | 35% | ▼ 25% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Mathare United vs Ulinzi Stars?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Mathare United 1:0 Ulinzi Stars. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mathare United vs Ulinzi Stars?
Mathare United score 0.56 goals per game on average and Ulinzi Stars 1.00. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 19% of Mathare United's matches and 56% of Ulinzi Stars's.
What form are Mathare United and Ulinzi Stars in?
Over the last 5 games Mathare United have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Ulinzi Stars 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mathare United vs Ulinzi Stars?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mathare United vs Ulinzi Stars: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.