Mazatlán vs Juárez: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced contest with a slight edge towards a draw. Mazatlán has poor home form with 67% draws in home matches and only 22% wins, having failed to win any of their last 5 fixtures. Juárez presents slightly better overall form, yet they lose half their away matches and hold a negative goal difference (-6). Both teams possess identical average possession stats (43%) and similar xG metrics, suggesting comparable offensive strength. The high average goal count in Mazatlán's home games (3.44) and the hosts' history of draws argue for shared points. Considering the poor form of both teams in the last 5 matches and Mazatlán's tendency to draw at their own stadium, the most probable outcome is a split of the points.
Mazatlán vs Juárez: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mazatlán play Juárez in Liga MX (Mexico). The match date is 10 January 2026 at 04:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Mazatlán: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Juárez: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mazatlán scores 1.24 and concedes 1.94 goals per match. Juárez scores 1.50 and concedes 1.74. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mazatlán 76%, Juárez 82%. Over 2.5: Mazatlán 62%, Juárez 68%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Juárez has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.16. Mazatlán: 10.2 shots per match, Juárez: 12.3.
Match halves
Mazatlán: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.74. Juárez: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Mazatlán: 31-45+ (9 goals). Juárez: 76-90+ (18 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced contest with a slight edge towards a draw. Mazatlán has poor home form with 67% draws in home matches and only 22% wins, having failed to win any of their last 5 fixtures. Juárez presents slightly better overall form, yet they lose half their away matches and hold a negative goal difference (-6). Both teams possess identical average possession stats (43%) and similar xG metrics, suggesting comparable offensive strength. The high average goal count in Mazatlán's home games (3.44) and the hosts' history of draws argue for shared points. Considering the poor form of both teams in the last 5 matches and Mazatlán's tendency to draw at their own stadium, the most probable outcome is a split of the points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mazatlán | Juárez | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Juárez is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.24 goals / match - Mazatlán · 1.5 goals / match - Juárez
Juárez is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.94 goals / match - Mazatlán · 1.74 goals / match - Juárez
Mazatlán scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Juárez keeps a clean sheet in 8% (3 of 38 matches).
Juárez scores in 87% of matches (33 of 38 matches), while Mazatlán keeps a clean sheet in 6% (2 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mazatlán
Over / Under — Juárez
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Juárez is 70% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.82 pts / match - Mazatlán · 1.39 pts / match - Juárez
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mazatlán - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Juárez - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 32%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mazatlán
Juárez
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Mazatlán | Liga | Juárez | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.18 | 2.91 | ▲ 3.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 76% | 59% | ▲ 82% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 55% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 6% | 24% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 72% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 76% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mazatlán 0 - 0 - 1 Juárez. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mazatlán vs Juárez?
The Liga MX match finished Mazatlán 1:2 Juárez. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mazatlán vs Juárez?
Mazatlán score 1.24 goals per game on average and Juárez 1.50. The Liga MX average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 76% of Mazatlán's matches and 82% of Juárez's.
What form are Mazatlán and Juárez in?
Over the last 5 games Mazatlán have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Juárez 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mazatlán vs Juárez?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.