Mazatlán vs Juárez: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced contest with a slight edge towards a draw. Mazatlán has poor home form with 67% draws in home matches and only 22% wins, having failed to win any of their last 5 fixtures. Juárez presents slightly better overall form, yet they lose half their away matches and hold a negative goal difference (-6). Both teams possess identical average possession stats (43%) and similar xG metrics, suggesting comparable offensive strength. The high average goal count in Mazatlán's home games (3.44) and the hosts' history of draws argue for shared points. Considering the poor form of both teams in the last 5 matches and Mazatlán's tendency to draw at their own stadium, the most probable outcome is a split of the points.
Mazatlán vs Juárez: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mazatlán played against Juárez in Liga MX (Mexico). The game was played on January 10, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Mazatlán has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Juárez has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Mazatlán scores 1.18 goals per game and allows 1.71. Juárez scores 1.48 and allows 1.62. Games in this league average 3.06 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 71% of Mazatlán's games and 76% of Juárez's. The Over 2.5 rates are 59% and 62%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Juárez has the higher season xG average, 1.23 to 1.09 per game. Mazatlán takes 9.4 shots per game, while Juárez takes 11.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Mazatlán leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.65 goals per game after halftime. Juárez leads at halftime in 43% and scores 0.71 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mazatlán's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Juárez, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga MX games average 3.06 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced contest with a slight edge towards a draw. Mazatlán has poor home form with 67% draws in home matches and only 22% wins, having failed to win any of their last 5 fixtures. Juárez presents slightly better overall form, yet they lose half their away matches and hold a negative goal difference (-6). Both teams possess identical average possession stats (43%) and similar xG metrics, suggesting comparable offensive strength. The high average goal count in Mazatlán's home games (3.44) and the hosts' history of draws argue for shared points. Considering the poor form of both teams in the last 5 matches and Mazatlán's tendency to draw at their own stadium, the most probable outcome is a split of the points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mazatlán | Juárez | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Juárez is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Mazatlán · 0.8 pts / game - Juárez
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Juárez is 25% better for: goals scored per game.
1.18 goals / game - Mazatlán · 1.48 goals / game - Juárez
Juárez is 6% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.71 goals / game - Mazatlán · 1.62 goals / game - Juárez
Mazatlán scores in 71% of games (12 of 17 meczów), while Juárez keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 meczów).
Juárez scores in 86% of games (18 of 21 meczów), while Mazatlán keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mazatlán
Over / Under - Juárez
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Juárez is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Mazatlán · 1.52 pts / game - Juárez
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mazatlán - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 12%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Juárez - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 33%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mazatlán
Juárez
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Mazatlán | Liga | Juárez | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.88 | 3.06 | • 3.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 58% | ▲ 76% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 56% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 6% | 23% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 74% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 80% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- MazatlánSubstitutionOn: Christopher Paul Castro RamírezOff: Jefferson Alfredo Intriago Mendoza
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Mazatlán's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Juárez. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Mazatlán vs Juárez?
The Liga MX match finished Mazatlán 1:2 Juárez. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mazatlán vs Juárez?
Mazatlán score 1.18 goals per game on average and Juárez 1.48. The Liga MX average is 3.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Mazatlán's matches and 76% of Juárez's.
What form are Mazatlán and Juárez in?
Over the last 5 games Mazatlán have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Juárez 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mazatlán vs Juárez?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.