Mazatlán vs Monterrey: match statistics
Monterrey presents much better form and statistics compared to Mazatlán. The visitors have won 12 matches this season with 41 goals scored, while the hosts have recorded only 2 victories and 22 goals. Mazatlán has not won any of their last 5 matches and has an alarming 60% draw rate at home, indicating difficulties in scoring goals. Despite a 50% loss rate away, Monterrey possesses a higher win rate (42%) and better offensive statistics with 5 shots on target per match and 54% possession. Additionally, the hosts' xG (1.14) is significantly lower than the guests' xG (1.47), confirming Monterrey's qualitative advantage. Given Mazatlán's poor form and the visitors' superior offensive potential, I expect a victory for Monterrey.
Mazatlán vs Monterrey: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mazatlán played against Monterrey in Liga MX (Mexico). The game was played on January 17, 2026. Final score: 1:5.
Recent form
Mazatlán has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Monterrey has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Mazatlán scores 1.16 goals per game and allows 1.74. Monterrey scores 1.78 and allows 1.52. Games in this league average 2.98 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 74% of Mazatlán's games and 57% of Monterrey's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 57%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Monterrey has the higher season xG average, 1.50 to 1.07 per game. Mazatlán takes 9.1 shots per game, while Monterrey takes 13.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Mazatlán leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. Monterrey leads at halftime in 57% and scores 0.65 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mazatlán's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Monterrey, it is minutes 31-45+ (16 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga MX games average 2.98 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Monterrey presents much better form and statistics compared to Mazatlán. The visitors have won 12 matches this season with 41 goals scored, while the hosts have recorded only 2 victories and 22 goals. Mazatlán has not won any of their last 5 matches and has an alarming 60% draw rate at home, indicating difficulties in scoring goals. Despite a 50% loss rate away, Monterrey possesses a higher win rate (42%) and better offensive statistics with 5 shots on target per match and 54% possession. Additionally, the hosts' xG (1.14) is significantly lower than the guests' xG (1.47), confirming Monterrey's qualitative advantage. Given Mazatlán's poor form and the visitors' superior offensive potential, I expect a victory for Monterrey.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mazatlán | Monterrey | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Monterrey is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Mazatlán · 1.2 pts / game - Monterrey
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Monterrey is 53% better for: goals scored per game.
1.16 goals / game - Mazatlán · 1.78 goals / game - Monterrey
Monterrey is 14% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.74 goals / game - Mazatlán · 1.52 goals / game - Monterrey
Mazatlán scores in 74% of games (14 of 19 meczów), while Monterrey keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 meczów).
Monterrey scores in 87% of games (20 of 23 meczów), while Mazatlán keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mazatlán
Over / Under - Monterrey
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Monterrey is 115% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / game - Mazatlán · 1.91 pts / game - Monterrey
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mazatlán - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 11%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Monterrey - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 57% of games and wins 52%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mazatlán
Monterrey
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Mazatlán | Liga | Monterrey | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.89 | 2.98 | ▲ 3.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 57% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 55% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 24% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 72% | ▲ 91% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 78% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Mazatlán's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Monterrey. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Mazatlán vs Monterrey?
The Liga MX match finished Mazatlán 1:5 Monterrey. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mazatlán vs Monterrey?
Mazatlán score 1.16 goals per game on average and Monterrey 1.78. The Liga MX average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Mazatlán's matches and 57% of Monterrey's.
What form are Mazatlán and Monterrey in?
Over the last 5 games Mazatlán have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Monterrey 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mazatlán vs Monterrey?
The statistical background for Mazatlán vs Monterrey — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


