Mazatlán vs Toluca: match statistics
Mazatlán vs Toluca: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mazatlán play Toluca in Liga MX (Mexico). The match date is 23 April 2026 at 03:00. Final score: 4:3.
Current form
Mazatlán: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Toluca: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mazatlán scores 1.24 and concedes 1.94 goals per match. Toluca scores 1.86 and concedes 1.02. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mazatlán 76%, Toluca 55%. Over 2.5: Mazatlán 62%, Toluca 50%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Toluca has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.16. Mazatlán: 10.2 shots per match, Toluca: 17.5.
Match halves
Mazatlán: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.74. Toluca: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.07.
Goals by minute
Mazatlán: 31-45+ (9 goals). Toluca: 46-60 (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Toluca holds a clear superiority across the season: 21 wins, 11 draws and 6 losses with a goal difference of 71 scored and 35 conceded, while Mazatlán has 5 wins, 11 draws and 16 losses with a 37-58 record. At home Mazatlán averages 1.56 goals scored and concedes 1.81 with average xG 1.22 for and 1.88 against, whereas Toluca away records 1.42 scored and only 0.79 conceded with xG 1.62 for and 1.13 against, indicating an away defensive edge. The visitors create more chances — 15.84 shots and 5.00 on target per away match versus Mazatlán’s 10.69 and 3.69 at home; despite the hosts’ higher conversion rate (15% vs 9%), Toluca produces substantially more opportunities. In the last 5 matches Mazatlán has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, averaging 0.4 points per game, while Toluca over the same period has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, averaging 1.4 points — the trend favors the visitors. Additionally Toluca keeps 42% clean sheets away compared to Mazatlán’s 6% at home, therefore I project a Toluca victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mazatlán | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mazatlán is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Mazatlán · 0.6 pts / match - Toluca
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Toluca is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.24 goals / match - Mazatlán · 1.86 goals / match - Toluca
Toluca is 90% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.94 goals / match - Mazatlán · 1.02 goals / match - Toluca
Mazatlán scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Toluca keeps a clean sheet in 31% (13 of 42 matches).
Toluca scores in 74% of matches (31 of 42 matches), while Mazatlán keeps a clean sheet in 6% (2 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mazatlán
Over / Under — Toluca
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Toluca is 89% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.82 pts / match - Mazatlán · 1.55 pts / match - Toluca
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mazatlán - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Toluca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (19 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mazatlán
Toluca
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Mazatlán | Liga | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.18 | 2.91 | • 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 76% | 59% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 6% | 24% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 72% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 76% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mazatlán 0 - 0 - 1 Toluca. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mazatlán vs Toluca?
The Liga MX match finished Mazatlán 4:3 Toluca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mazatlán vs Toluca?
Mazatlán score 1.24 goals per game on average and Toluca 1.86. The Liga MX average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 76% of Mazatlán's matches and 55% of Toluca's.
What form are Mazatlán and Toluca in?
Over the last 5 games Mazatlán have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Toluca 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mazatlán vs Toluca?
The statistical background for Mazatlán vs Toluca — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.