Mbarara City vs Kitara: match statistics
Kitara is the clear favorite for this matchup, sitting 2nd in the table with an impressive record of 12 wins this season, while Mbarara City sits in 13th place with only 3 wins. The visitors' form is noticeably better - in their last 5 matches, they averaged 2.2 PPG, remaining undefeated (3 wins, 2 draws), whereas the hosts secured only 0.8 PPG with 3 defeats. Kitara exhibits significantly better attacking efficiency in away matches, scoring an average of 1 goal per game with a higher xG (1.72 vs 1.37), and also defends better, conceding an average of 0.78 goals per away game compared to the 0.89 conceded by the hosts at home. Kitara's positive away goal difference (+2) compared to Mbarara's negative home goal difference (-2), combined with the visitors' 56% away win rate against the hosts' mere 22% home win rate, clearly indicate the visiting team's superiority.
Mbarara City vs Kitara: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mbarara City played against Kitara in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The game was played on March 10, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Mbarara City has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Kitara has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Mbarara City scores 0.79 goals per game and allows 1.58. Kitara scores 1.44 and allows 0.67. Games in this league average 2.15 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 58% of Mbarara City's games and 39% of Kitara's. The Over 2.5 rates are 32% and 28%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 36% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Kitara has the higher season xG average, 1.61 to 1.37 per game. Mbarara City takes 8.2 shots per game, while Kitara takes 10.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Mbarara City leads at halftime in 5% of its games and scores 0.47 goals per game after halftime. Kitara leads at halftime in 67% and scores 0.56 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mbarara City's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). For Kitara, it is minutes 0-15 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Uganda Premier League games average 2.15 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 36% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kitara is the clear favorite for this matchup, sitting 2nd in the table with an impressive record of 12 wins this season, while Mbarara City sits in 13th place with only 3 wins. The visitors' form is noticeably better - in their last 5 matches, they averaged 2.2 PPG, remaining undefeated (3 wins, 2 draws), whereas the hosts secured only 0.8 PPG with 3 defeats. Kitara exhibits significantly better attacking efficiency in away matches, scoring an average of 1 goal per game with a higher xG (1.72 vs 1.37), and also defends better, conceding an average of 0.78 goals per away game compared to the 0.89 conceded by the hosts at home. Kitara's positive away goal difference (+2) compared to Mbarara's negative home goal difference (-2), combined with the visitors' 56% away win rate against the hosts' mere 22% home win rate, clearly indicate the visiting team's superiority.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mbarara City | Kitara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Kitara is 175% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Mbarara City · 2.2 pts / game - Kitara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kitara is 82% better for: goals scored per game.
0.79 goals / game - Mbarara City · 1.44 goals / game - Kitara
Kitara is 136% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.58 goals / game - Mbarara City · 0.67 goals / game - Kitara
Mbarara City scores in 68% of games (13 of 19 games), while Kitara keeps a clean sheet in 44% (8 of 18 games).
Kitara scores in 83% of games (15 of 18 games), while Mbarara City keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mbarara City
Over / Under - Kitara
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kitara is 226% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.68 pts / game - Mbarara City · 2.22 pts / game - Kitara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mbarara City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 5% of games and wins 16%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Kitara - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mbarara City
Kitara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mbarara City | Liga | Kitara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.37 | 2.15 | • 2.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 41% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 36% | ▼ 28% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 37% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 60% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 74% | 59% | ▲ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Mbarara City's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Kitara. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Mbarara City vs Kitara?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Mbarara City 0:1 Kitara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mbarara City vs Kitara?
Mbarara City score 0.79 goals per game on average and Kitara 1.44. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 36% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Mbarara City's matches and 39% of Kitara's.
What form are Mbarara City and Kitara in?
Over the last 5 games Mbarara City have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Kitara 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mbarara City vs Kitara?
The statistical background for Mbarara City vs Kitara — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.