Mbarara City vs Vipers: match statistics
Vipers SC, the table leader with an impressive record of 12 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, is the decisive favorite for this clash. The visiting team presents dominant form, earning an average of 2.2 points per match in their last five games, with only 3 goals conceded. Mbarara City occupies just 13th place in the table with a negative goal difference (-14 overall) and weak home form – only 25% of matches won at home and barely 0.8 points per match in their last five appearances. Vipers also stand out with higher efficiency (15% shot conversion versus 7% for the hosts) and better xG statistics (1.71 vs 1.48). Given the immense difference in class, form, and league position, an away victory is the most probable scenario.
Mbarara City vs Vipers: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mbarara City played against Vipers in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The game was played on March 7, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Mbarara City has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Vipers has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Mbarara City scores 0.78 goals per game and allows 1.56. Vipers scores 2.12 and allows 0.53. Games in this league average 2.18 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of Mbarara City's games and 53% of Vipers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 28% and 47%, compared with league averages of 42% for BTTS and 36% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Vipers has the higher season xG average, 1.75 to 1.41 per game. Mbarara City takes 8.6 shots per game, while Vipers takes 11.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Mbarara City leads at halftime in 6% of its games and scores 0.44 goals per game after halftime. Vipers leads at halftime in 71% and scores 0.82 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mbarara City's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). For Vipers, it is minutes 31-45+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Uganda Premier League games average 2.18 goals. Both teams score in 42% of games, and 36% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vipers SC, the table leader with an impressive record of 12 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, is the decisive favorite for this clash. The visiting team presents dominant form, earning an average of 2.2 points per match in their last five games, with only 3 goals conceded. Mbarara City occupies just 13th place in the table with a negative goal difference (-14 overall) and weak home form – only 25% of matches won at home and barely 0.8 points per match in their last five appearances. Vipers also stand out with higher efficiency (15% shot conversion versus 7% for the hosts) and better xG statistics (1.71 vs 1.48). Given the immense difference in class, form, and league position, an away victory is the most probable scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mbarara City | Vipers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.49 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Vipers is 175% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Mbarara City · 2.2 pts / game - Vipers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vipers is 172% better for: goals scored per game.
0.78 goals / game - Mbarara City · 2.12 goals / game - Vipers
Vipers is 194% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.56 goals / game - Mbarara City · 0.53 goals / game - Vipers
Mbarara City scores in 67% of games (12 of 18 games), while Vipers keeps a clean sheet in 47% (8 of 17 games).
Vipers scores in 94% of games (16 of 17 games), while Mbarara City keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mbarara City
Over / Under - Vipers
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vipers is 226% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.72 pts / game - Mbarara City · 2.35 pts / game - Vipers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mbarara City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 6% of games and wins 17%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Vipers - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 71% of games and wins 71%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -7 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 2.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +11 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mbarara City
Vipers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mbarara City | Liga | Vipers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.33 | 2.18 | ▲ 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 42% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 28% | 36% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 36% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 60% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 72% | 60% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- VipersGoalYunus Sentamu
Head-to-head
Record from Mbarara City's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Vipers. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Mbarara City vs Vipers?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Mbarara City 1:2 Vipers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mbarara City vs Vipers?
Mbarara City score 0.78 goals per game on average and Vipers 2.12. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 36% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Mbarara City's matches and 53% of Vipers's.
What form are Mbarara City and Vipers in?
Over the last 5 games Mbarara City have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Vipers 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mbarara City vs Vipers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mbarara City vs Vipers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.