Mbeya City vs KMC: match statistics
Mbeya City vs KMC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mbeya City play KMC in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match date is 3 April 2026 at 15:15. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Mbeya City: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. KMC: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mbeya City scores 0.78 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. KMC scores 0.57 and concedes 1.75. League average: 2.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mbeya City 31%, KMC 32%. Over 2.5: Mbeya City 28%, KMC 39%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
KMC has higher xG: 1.21 vs 0.99. Mbeya City: 4.7 shots per match, KMC: 6.6.
Match halves
Mbeya City: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.28. KMC: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.29.
Goals by minute
Mbeya City: 16-30 (7 goals). KMC: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligi kuu Bara: 2.17 goals per match, BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a home win; Mbeya averages 0.63 goals at home versus KMC’s 0.38 goals away. Although KMC attempts more shots (7.5 per match) and has higher away xG (1.20 vs 0.97), their shot conversion is only 4% compared to the home side’s 11%, which limits their real goal threat. Defensively Mbeya concedes 1.50 goals per home match, while KMC concedes 2.00 away; KMC have no clean sheets on the road (0%), whereas Mbeya have a 13% clean sheet rate. Form over the last 5 matches shows Mbeya with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses (1.0 pts/match), KMC with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses (0.8 pts/match), and both teams have conceded 7 goals in their last 5 games. Based on this I assess the probabilities as: home 60%, draw 25%, away 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mbeya City | KMC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.58 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mbeya City is 37% better for: goals scored per match.
0.78 goals / match - Mbeya City · 0.57 goals / match - KMC
Mbeya City is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.28 goals / match - Mbeya City · 1.75 goals / match - KMC
Mbeya City scores in 50% of matches (16 of 32 matches), while KMC keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 28 matches).
KMC scores in 39% of matches (11 of 28 matches), while Mbeya City keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mbeya City
Over / Under — KMC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mbeya City is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.03 pts / match - Mbeya City · 0.75 pts / match - KMC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mbeya City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
KMC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 7%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mbeya City
KMC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Mbeya City | Liga | KMC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.06 | 2.17 | ▲ 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 31% | 35% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 28% | 39% | • 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 34% | 39% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 66% | 60% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 56% | 63% | ▼ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mbeya City 1 - 0 - 0 KMC. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mbeya City vs KMC?
The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Mbeya City 3:2 KMC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mbeya City vs KMC?
Mbeya City score 0.78 goals per game on average and KMC 0.57. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 2.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Mbeya City's matches and 32% of KMC's.
What form are Mbeya City and KMC in?
Over the last 5 games Mbeya City have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and KMC 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mbeya City vs KMC?
The statistical background for Mbeya City vs KMC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.