Mbeya City vs Pamba Jiji: match statistics
Mbeya City is presenting very weak form, losing all of their last five matches and failing to earn a single point during this period. The hosts occupy 15th place in the table, have not won any match at home this season, and hold a 0% win rate in domestic games. Pamba Jiji is located in 4th position in the league with a solid record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, earning 1.6 points per game in the last five meetings. The visitors show better shooting effectiveness (22% shot conversion) compared to the hosts (6%) as well as a better average xG. Pamba Jiji's advantage in ball possession (51% vs 49%) and better defensive organization (40% clean sheets away vs 25% for the hosts) additionally support predictions in favor of the visitors. Taking into account Mbeya City's catastrophic series of defeats and Pamba Jiji's stable form, I expect a victory for the guests or possibly a draw.
Mbeya City vs Pamba Jiji: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mbeya City play Pamba Jiji in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match date is 30 January 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Mbeya City: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Pamba Jiji: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mbeya City scores 0.78 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Pamba Jiji scores 1.07 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mbeya City 31%, Pamba Jiji 40%. Over 2.5: Mbeya City 28%, Pamba Jiji 50%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Pamba Jiji has higher xG: 1.28 vs 0.99. Mbeya City: 4.7 shots per match, Pamba Jiji: 5.3.
Match halves
Mbeya City: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.28. Pamba Jiji: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Mbeya City: 16-30 (7 goals). Pamba Jiji: 0-15 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligi kuu Bara: 2.17 goals per match, BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Mbeya City is presenting very weak form, losing all of their last five matches and failing to earn a single point during this period. The hosts occupy 15th place in the table, have not won any match at home this season, and hold a 0% win rate in domestic games. Pamba Jiji is located in 4th position in the league with a solid record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, earning 1.6 points per game in the last five meetings. The visitors show better shooting effectiveness (22% shot conversion) compared to the hosts (6%) as well as a better average xG. Pamba Jiji's advantage in ball possession (51% vs 49%) and better defensive organization (40% clean sheets away vs 25% for the hosts) additionally support predictions in favor of the visitors. Taking into account Mbeya City's catastrophic series of defeats and Pamba Jiji's stable form, I expect a victory for the guests or possibly a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mbeya City | Pamba Jiji | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.58 | 0.49 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mbeya City is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Mbeya City · 0.6 pts / match - Pamba Jiji
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pamba Jiji is 37% better for: goals scored per match.
0.78 goals / match - Mbeya City · 1.07 goals / match - Pamba Jiji
Pamba Jiji is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.28 goals / match - Mbeya City · 1.17 goals / match - Pamba Jiji
Mbeya City scores in 50% of matches (16 of 32 matches), while Pamba Jiji keeps a clean sheet in 37% (11 of 30 matches).
Pamba Jiji scores in 63% of matches (19 of 30 matches), while Mbeya City keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mbeya City
Over / Under — Pamba Jiji
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pamba Jiji is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.03 pts / match - Mbeya City · 1.1 pts / match - Pamba Jiji
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mbeya City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Pamba Jiji - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mbeya City
Pamba Jiji
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Mbeya City | Liga | Pamba Jiji | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.06 | 2.17 | • 2.23 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 31% | 35% | ▲ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 28% | 39% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 34% | 39% | ▼ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 66% | 60% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 56% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mbeya City 1 - 0 - 0 Pamba Jiji. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mbeya City vs Pamba Jiji?
The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Mbeya City 1:1 Pamba Jiji. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mbeya City vs Pamba Jiji?
Mbeya City score 0.78 goals per game on average and Pamba Jiji 1.07. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 2.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Mbeya City's matches and 40% of Pamba Jiji's.
What form are Mbeya City and Pamba Jiji in?
Over the last 5 games Mbeya City have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Pamba Jiji 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mbeya City vs Pamba Jiji?
The statistical background for Mbeya City vs Pamba Jiji — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.