Mbeya City vs Simba: match statistics
Mbeya City vs Simba: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mbeya City play Simba in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match date is 17 June 2026 at 13:00. Venue: Sokoine Stadium. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Mbeya City: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Simba: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mbeya City scores 0.78 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Simba scores 1.79 and concedes 0.38. League average: 2.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mbeya City 31%, Simba 28%. Over 2.5: Mbeya City 28%, Simba 48%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Simba has higher xG: 1.57 vs 0.99. Mbeya City: 4.7 shots per match, Simba: 8.7.
Match halves
Mbeya City: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.28. Simba: half-time lead 59%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Mbeya City: 16-30 (7 goals). Simba: 31-45+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligi kuu Bara: 2.17 goals per match, BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Simba is the clear favorite: they average 1.5 goals away with an average xG of 1.63, while Mbeya City at home records only 0.69 goals and xG 0.95. Defensively Simba also has the edge — they concede 0.42 goals on average away and keep clean sheets in 58% of matches, whereas Mbeya concedes 1.23 goals at home and keeps clean sheets in 31% of cases. The form gap is decisive: Simba have won 5 of their last 5 matches and scored 12 goals in that period, translating to an average of 3.0 points per game, while Mbeya have 1 win, 3 goals and only 0.8 points per game in their last 5. Simba create significantly more chances — 10.6 shots with 4.3 on target away versus 4.92 shots and 1.33 on target for Mbeya; with a similar 14% conversion this implies a larger number of real scoring opportunities for Simba. Considering the xG advantage (1.63 vs 0.95), defensive stability (0.42 vs 1.23) and more frequent goal scoring (1.5 vs 0.69), I predict an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mbeya City | Simba | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.58 | 0.51 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Simba is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Mbeya City · 3 pts / match - Simba
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Simba is 129% better for: goals scored per match.
0.78 goals / match - Mbeya City · 1.79 goals / match - Simba
Simba is 237% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.28 goals / match - Mbeya City · 0.38 goals / match - Simba
Mbeya City scores in 50% of matches (16 of 32 matches), while Simba keeps a clean sheet in 69% (20 of 29 matches).
Simba scores in 83% of matches (24 of 29 matches), while Mbeya City keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mbeya City
Over / Under — Simba
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Simba is 111% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.03 pts / match - Mbeya City · 2.17 pts / match - Simba
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mbeya City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Simba - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 59% of matches and wins 72%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mbeya City
Simba
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Mbeya City | Liga | Simba | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.06 | 2.17 | • 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 31% | 35% | ▼ 28% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 28% | 39% | ▲ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 34% | 39% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 66% | 60% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 56% | 63% | ▲ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mbeya City 0 - 0 - 1 Simba. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mbeya City vs Simba?
The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Mbeya City 0:1 Simba. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mbeya City vs Simba?
Mbeya City score 0.78 goals per game on average and Simba 1.79. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 2.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Mbeya City's matches and 28% of Simba's.
What form are Mbeya City and Simba in?
Over the last 5 games Mbeya City have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Simba 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mbeya City vs Simba?
The statistical background for Mbeya City vs Simba — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.