Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, which speaks in favor of a draw. Mbeya City presents a poor home form with a 0% win rate and as much as 57% of matches ending in a draw at their own stadium. Despite a higher league standing (3rd place), Singida Black Stars have merely a 20% away win rate alongside a 40% draw rate on the road. Both teams hold an identical goal difference in their respective splits (-4), similar xG metrics, and comparable averages for goals scored and conceded. Their form over the last five fixtures is similar (Mbeya 1.0 PPG vs Singida 1.4 PPG), and a high percentage of matches without a goal scored for both sides (57% and 50%) suggests low offensive efficiency. These factors, combined with the hosts' tendency to draw at home, indicate a sharing of points as the most probable scenario.
Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mbeya City played against Singida Black Stars in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The game was played on March 15, 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Recent form
Mbeya City has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Singida Black Stars has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Mbeya City scores 0.73 goals per game and allows 1.20. Singida Black Stars scores 0.72 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 1.92 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 27% of Mbeya City's games and 28% of Singida Black Stars's. The Over 2.5 rates are 27% and 17%, compared with league averages of 31% for BTTS and 31% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Singida Black Stars has the higher season xG average, 1.42 to 1.09 per game. Mbeya City takes 5.0 shots per game, while Singida Black Stars takes 3.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Mbeya City leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.27 goals per game after halftime. Singida Black Stars leads at halftime in 11% and scores 0.22 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mbeya City's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). For Singida Black Stars, it is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligi kuu Bara games average 1.92 goals. Both teams score in 31% of games, and 31% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, which speaks in favor of a draw. Mbeya City presents a poor home form with a 0% win rate and as much as 57% of matches ending in a draw at their own stadium. Despite a higher league standing (3rd place), Singida Black Stars have merely a 20% away win rate alongside a 40% draw rate on the road. Both teams hold an identical goal difference in their respective splits (-4), similar xG metrics, and comparable averages for goals scored and conceded. Their form over the last five fixtures is similar (Mbeya 1.0 PPG vs Singida 1.4 PPG), and a high percentage of matches without a goal scored for both sides (57% and 50%) suggests low offensive efficiency. These factors, combined with the hosts' tendency to draw at home, indicate a sharing of points as the most probable scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mbeya City | Singida Black Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.22 | 0.37 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.65 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Singida Black Stars is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Mbeya City · 1.4 pts / game - Singida Black Stars
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Singida Black Stars is 20% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.2 goals / game - Mbeya City · 1 goals / game - Singida Black Stars
Mbeya City scores in 47% of games (7 of 15 games), while Singida Black Stars keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 games).
Singida Black Stars scores in 61% of games (11 of 18 games), while Mbeya City keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mbeya City
Over / Under - Singida Black Stars
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mbeya City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Singida Black Stars - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mbeya City
Singida Black Stars
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Mbeya City | Liga | Singida Black Stars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 1.93 | 1.92 | ▼ 1.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 31% | ▼ 28% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 31% | ▼ 17% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 42% | ▼ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 51% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▼ 33% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Singida Black StarsGoalMossi NduwumweAssist: Lamine Diadhiou
FAQ
What was the result of Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars?
The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Mbeya City 1:4 Singida Black Stars. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars?
Mbeya City score 0.73 goals per game on average and Singida Black Stars 0.72. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 1.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Mbeya City's matches and 28% of Singida Black Stars's.
What form are Mbeya City and Singida Black Stars in?
Over the last 5 games Mbeya City have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Singida Black Stars 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.