Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Bunna: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a closely contested match with a higher probability of a draw. Mebrat Hayl displays solid home defense (73% clean sheets, average 0.27 goals conceded), but their offensive form is problematic – a full 55% of home matches end without a goal scored, and an average of 0.73 goals per game is very low. Ethiopia Bunna arrives in excellent form (3 wins in the last 5 matches, 2 points per match), with better shooting accuracy (16% shot conversion rate compared to the hosts' 13%) and solid away defense (50% clean sheets). The hosts' recent results (1-2-2 in the last 5 matches) and their tendency to draw (45% of home matches) suggest they will struggle to break down the visitors' defense. Considering both teams' low average xG (1.07 vs 0.98) and statistics indicating a defensive nature of the match, the most probable outcome is a draw or possibly a narrow home win due to the home advantage.
Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Bunna: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mebrat Hayl play Ethiopia Bunna in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 8 March 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Mebrat Hayl: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Ethiopia Bunna: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mebrat Hayl scores 0.84 and concedes 0.68 goals per match. Ethiopia Bunna scores 1.05 and concedes 1.03. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mebrat Hayl 37%, Ethiopia Bunna 47%. Over 2.5: Mebrat Hayl 26%, Ethiopia Bunna 37%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Ethiopia Bunna has higher xG: 1.22 vs 1.12. Mebrat Hayl: 7.0 shots per match, Ethiopia Bunna: 7.5.
Match halves
Mebrat Hayl: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.50. Ethiopia Bunna: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Mebrat Hayl: 46-60 (9 goals). Ethiopia Bunna: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Statistical analysis points to a closely contested match with a higher probability of a draw. Mebrat Hayl displays solid home defense (73% clean sheets, average 0.27 goals conceded), but their offensive form is problematic – a full 55% of home matches end without a goal scored, and an average of 0.73 goals per game is very low. Ethiopia Bunna arrives in excellent form (3 wins in the last 5 matches, 2 points per match), with better shooting accuracy (16% shot conversion rate compared to the hosts' 13%) and solid away defense (50% clean sheets). The hosts' recent results (1-2-2 in the last 5 matches) and their tendency to draw (45% of home matches) suggest they will struggle to break down the visitors' defense. Considering both teams' low average xG (1.07 vs 0.98) and statistics indicating a defensive nature of the match, the most probable outcome is a draw or possibly a narrow home win due to the home advantage.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mebrat Hayl | Ethiopia Bunna | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mebrat Hayl is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl · 1 pts / match - Ethiopia Bunna
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopia Bunna is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
0.84 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl · 1.05 goals / match - Ethiopia Bunna
Mebrat Hayl is 51% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.68 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl · 1.03 goals / match - Ethiopia Bunna
Mebrat Hayl scores in 55% of matches (21 of 38 matches), while Ethiopia Bunna keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).
Ethiopia Bunna scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Mebrat Hayl keeps a clean sheet in 47% (18 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mebrat Hayl
Over / Under — Ethiopia Bunna
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mebrat Hayl - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ethiopia Bunna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mebrat Hayl
Ethiopia Bunna
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mebrat Hayl | Liga | Ethiopia Bunna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.53 | 1.78 | ▲ 2.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 40% | ▲ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 26% | 28% | ▲ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 40% | ▼ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 39% | 56% | ▲ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 63% | 59% | ▲ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mebrat Hayl 1 - 0 - 0 Ethiopia Bunna. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Bunna?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mebrat Hayl 2:1 Ethiopia Bunna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Mebrat Hayl score 0.84 goals per game on average and Ethiopia Bunna 1.05. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Mebrat Hayl's matches and 47% of Ethiopia Bunna's.
What form are Mebrat Hayl and Ethiopia Bunna in?
Over the last 5 games Mebrat Hayl have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Ethiopia Bunna 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Bunna?
The statistical background for Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Bunna — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.