Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Bunna: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a closely contested match with a higher probability of a draw. Mebrat Hayl displays solid home defense (73% clean sheets, average 0.27 goals conceded), but their offensive form is problematic – a full 55% of home matches end without a goal scored, and an average of 0.73 goals per game is very low. Ethiopia Bunna arrives in excellent form (3 wins in the last 5 matches, 2 points per match), with better shooting accuracy (16% shot conversion rate compared to the hosts' 13%) and solid away defense (50% clean sheets). The hosts' recent results (1-2-2 in the last 5 matches) and their tendency to draw (45% of home matches) suggest they will struggle to break down the visitors' defense. Considering both teams' low average xG (1.07 vs 0.98) and statistics indicating a defensive nature of the match, the most probable outcome is a draw or possibly a narrow home win due to the home advantage.
Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Bunna: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mebrat Hayl played against Ethiopia Bunna in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on March 8, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Mebrat Hayl has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Ethiopia Bunna has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Mebrat Hayl scores 0.68 goals per game and allows 0.55. Ethiopia Bunna scores 0.90 and allows 0.95. Games in this league average 1.74 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 23% of Mebrat Hayl's games and 38% of Ethiopia Bunna's. The Over 2.5 rates are 18% and 29%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 26% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ethiopia Bunna has the higher season xG average, 1.14 to 1.12 per game. Mebrat Hayl takes 7.0 shots per game, while Ethiopia Bunna takes 7.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Mebrat Hayl leads at halftime in 9% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Ethiopia Bunna leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.38 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mebrat Hayl's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). For Ethiopia Bunna, it is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.74 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 26% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a closely contested match with a higher probability of a draw. Mebrat Hayl displays solid home defense (73% clean sheets, average 0.27 goals conceded), but their offensive form is problematic – a full 55% of home matches end without a goal scored, and an average of 0.73 goals per game is very low. Ethiopia Bunna arrives in excellent form (3 wins in the last 5 matches, 2 points per match), with better shooting accuracy (16% shot conversion rate compared to the hosts' 13%) and solid away defense (50% clean sheets). The hosts' recent results (1-2-2 in the last 5 matches) and their tendency to draw (45% of home matches) suggest they will struggle to break down the visitors' defense. Considering both teams' low average xG (1.07 vs 0.98) and statistics indicating a defensive nature of the match, the most probable outcome is a draw or possibly a narrow home win due to the home advantage.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mebrat Hayl | Ethiopia Bunna | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ethiopia Bunna is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Mebrat Hayl · 2 pts / game - Ethiopia Bunna
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopia Bunna is 32% better for: goals scored per game.
0.68 goals / game - Mebrat Hayl · 0.9 goals / game - Ethiopia Bunna
Mebrat Hayl is 73% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.55 goals / game - Mebrat Hayl · 0.95 goals / game - Ethiopia Bunna
Mebrat Hayl scores in 41% of games (9 of 22 games), while Ethiopia Bunna keeps a clean sheet in 38% (8 of 21 games).
Ethiopia Bunna scores in 67% of games (14 of 21 games), while Mebrat Hayl keeps a clean sheet in 59% (13 of 22 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mebrat Hayl
Over / Under - Ethiopia Bunna
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ethiopia Bunna is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / game - Mebrat Hayl · 1.43 pts / game - Ethiopia Bunna
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mebrat Hayl - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 9% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Ethiopia Bunna - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mebrat Hayl
Ethiopia Bunna
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mebrat Hayl | Liga | Ethiopia Bunna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.23 | 1.74 | ▲ 1.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 23% | 41% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 18% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 59% | 40% | ▼ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 23% | 54% | ▲ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 59% | 57% | ▲ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Mebrat HaylGoalPatrick Sibomana
Head-to-head
Record from Mebrat Hayl's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Ethiopia Bunna. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Bunna?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mebrat Hayl 2:1 Ethiopia Bunna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Mebrat Hayl score 0.68 goals per game on average and Ethiopia Bunna 0.90. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 23% of Mebrat Hayl's matches and 38% of Ethiopia Bunna's.
What form are Mebrat Hayl and Ethiopia Bunna in?
Over the last 5 games Mebrat Hayl have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Ethiopia Bunna 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Bunna?
The statistical background for Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Bunna — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.