Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: match statistics
Mebrat Hayl presents impressive home form with a 57% win rate and conceding just 0.14 goals on average per home match, making their stadium a true fortress. The hosts boast 86% clean sheets in home games and a positive goal difference of +5, while Ethiopia Nigd Bank has not won a single away match this season (0% Win%). The visitors have a tendency to draw on the road (71% Draw%), which explains the high probability of a split in points. Despite the visitors' better recent form (1.8 PPG vs 1.2 PPG), their complete lack of away wins and weak defense (conceding 1.43 goals on average) favor the hosts. Considering all statistics, I expect a tight victory for Mebrat Hayl or potentially a draw, but the defensive solidity of the hosts gives them the edge.
Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mebrat Hayl played against Ethiopia Nigd Bank in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on January 16, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Mebrat Hayl has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Ethiopia Nigd Bank has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Mebrat Hayl scores 0.57 goals per game and allows 0.36. Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores 1.14 and allows 1.07. Games in this league average 1.70 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 14% of Mebrat Hayl's games and 71% of Ethiopia Nigd Bank's. The Over 2.5 rates are 7% and 36%, compared with league averages of 42% for BTTS and 27% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ethiopia Nigd Bank has the higher season xG average, 1.18 to 1.09 per game. Mebrat Hayl takes 7.3 shots per game, while Ethiopia Nigd Bank takes 7.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Mebrat Hayl leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.57 goals per game after halftime. Ethiopia Nigd Bank leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.64 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mebrat Hayl's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). For Ethiopia Nigd Bank, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.70 goals. Both teams score in 42% of games, and 27% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mebrat Hayl presents impressive home form with a 57% win rate and conceding just 0.14 goals on average per home match, making their stadium a true fortress. The hosts boast 86% clean sheets in home games and a positive goal difference of +5, while Ethiopia Nigd Bank has not won a single away match this season (0% Win%). The visitors have a tendency to draw on the road (71% Draw%), which explains the high probability of a split in points. Despite the visitors' better recent form (1.8 PPG vs 1.2 PPG), their complete lack of away wins and weak defense (conceding 1.43 goals on average) favor the hosts. Considering all statistics, I expect a tight victory for Mebrat Hayl or potentially a draw, but the defensive solidity of the hosts gives them the edge.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mebrat Hayl | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Mebrat Hayl · 1.8 pts / game - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 100% better for: goals scored per game.
0.57 goals / game - Mebrat Hayl · 1.14 goals / game - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Mebrat Hayl is 197% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.36 goals / game - Mebrat Hayl · 1.07 goals / game - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Mebrat Hayl scores in 43% of games (6 of 14 meczów), while Ethiopia Nigd Bank keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 meczów).
Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores in 79% of games (11 of 14 meczów), while Mebrat Hayl keeps a clean sheet in 71% (10 of 14 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mebrat Hayl
Over / Under - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.86 pts / game - Mebrat Hayl · 1.07 pts / game - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mebrat Hayl - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 21%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mebrat Hayl
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mebrat Hayl | Liga | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 0.93 | 1.70 | ▲ 2.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 14% | 42% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 7% | 27% | ▲ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 71% | 40% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 14% | 55% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | • 57% | 57% | • 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mebrat Hayl 2:1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Mebrat Hayl score 0.57 goals per game on average and Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1.14. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 14% of Mebrat Hayl's matches and 71% of Ethiopia Nigd Bank's.
What form are Mebrat Hayl and Ethiopia Nigd Bank in?
Over the last 5 games Mebrat Hayl have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.