Mebrat Hayl vs Mekelakeya: match statistics
Mebrat Hayl vs Mekelakeya: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mebrat Hayl play Mekelakeya in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 29 April 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Mebrat Hayl: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Mekelakeya: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mebrat Hayl scores 0.84 and concedes 0.68 goals per match. Mekelakeya scores 1.15 and concedes 0.85. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mebrat Hayl 37%, Mekelakeya 41%. Over 2.5: Mebrat Hayl 26%, Mekelakeya 31%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Mekelakeya has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.12. Mebrat Hayl: 7.0 shots per match, Mekelakeya: 8.6.
Match halves
Mebrat Hayl: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.50. Mekelakeya: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.46.
Goals by minute
Mebrat Hayl: 46-60 (9 goals). Mekelakeya: 31-45+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a draw (X): both teams are close in the table (Mekelakeya 4th, Mebrat Hayl 5th) and have nearly identical season records (10 wins, 12 draws, 6 losses each), indicating an even contest. The home side’s strength is their home defence — conceding only 0.36 goals per home match on average and keeping clean sheets in 64% of games, with just 7% home defeats. Mekelakeya, however, is clearly superior offensively: 34 goals this season versus the hosts’ 22, averaging 1.71 goals on the road, 3.21 shots on target per match and a 19% conversion rate, while the hosts average 2.31 shots on target and 12% conversion. Additionally, the visitors arrive in better form (1.8 points average in the last 5 matches vs 1.6 for the hosts) and are less likely to be shut out away (only in 14% of matches), whereas the hosts fail to score at home in 50% of games. Given Mebrat Hayl’s excellent defence (0.36 goals conceded and 64% clean sheets) and Mekelakeya’s higher-quality shooting chances (xG 1.32 vs 1.1; 3.21 shots on target), the most likely outcome is a low-scoring draw (0:0 or 1:1).
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mebrat Hayl | Mekelakeya | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mebrat Hayl is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl · 0.8 pts / match - Mekelakeya
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelakeya is 37% better for: goals scored per match.
0.84 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl · 1.15 goals / match - Mekelakeya
Mebrat Hayl is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.68 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl · 0.85 goals / match - Mekelakeya
Mebrat Hayl scores in 55% of matches (21 of 38 matches), while Mekelakeya keeps a clean sheet in 46% (18 of 39 matches).
Mekelakeya scores in 67% of matches (26 of 39 matches), while Mebrat Hayl keeps a clean sheet in 47% (18 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mebrat Hayl
Over / Under — Mekelakeya
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelakeya is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl · 1.44 pts / match - Mekelakeya
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mebrat Hayl - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mekelakeya - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mebrat Hayl
Mekelakeya
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mebrat Hayl | Liga | Mekelakeya | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.53 | 1.78 | ▲ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 40% | • 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 26% | 28% | ▲ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 40% | ▲ 46% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 39% | 56% | ▲ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 63% | 59% | ▼ 54% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mebrat Hayl 0 - 1 - 0 Mekelakeya. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mebrat Hayl vs Mekelakeya?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mebrat Hayl 0:1 Mekelakeya. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mebrat Hayl vs Mekelakeya?
Mebrat Hayl score 0.84 goals per game on average and Mekelakeya 1.15. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Mebrat Hayl's matches and 41% of Mekelakeya's.
What form are Mebrat Hayl and Mekelakeya in?
Over the last 5 games Mebrat Hayl have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Mekelakeya 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mebrat Hayl vs Mekelakeya?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mebrat Hayl vs Mekelakeya: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.