Mebrat Hayl vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: match statistics
Mebrat Hayl is showcasing impressive home form, boasting a 67% win rate and remaining unbeaten at their own ground with 0% losses. The hosts are extremely solid defensively on home turf, conceding an average of just 0.17 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in 83% of their fixtures. Welwalo Adigrat Uni sits in the relegation zone (19th place) with a dismal away record – suffering 60% defeats and managing only 20% wins on the road. The visitors concede an average of 1.2 goals per away game, which significantly diminishes their chances when facing the hosts' resolute defense. The disparity in quality, league position, and home/away statistics clearly points to a Mebrat Hayl victory, although a draw remains a possibility given the hosts' recent streak of three draws.
Mebrat Hayl vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mebrat Hayl played against Welwalo Adigrat Uni in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on January 3, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
Mebrat Hayl has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Welwalo Adigrat Uni has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Mebrat Hayl scores 0.67 goals per game and allows 0.42. Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores 0.54 and allows 1.38. Games in this league average 1.79 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 17% of Mebrat Hayl's games and 38% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's. The Over 2.5 rates are 8% and 31%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 29% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mebrat Hayl has the higher season xG average, 1.12 to 1.04 per game. Mebrat Hayl takes 7.2 shots per game, while Welwalo Adigrat Uni takes 5.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Mebrat Hayl leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Welwalo Adigrat Uni leads at halftime in 15% and scores 0.23 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mebrat Hayl's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). For Welwalo Adigrat Uni, it is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.79 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 29% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mebrat Hayl is showcasing impressive home form, boasting a 67% win rate and remaining unbeaten at their own ground with 0% losses. The hosts are extremely solid defensively on home turf, conceding an average of just 0.17 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in 83% of their fixtures. Welwalo Adigrat Uni sits in the relegation zone (19th place) with a dismal away record – suffering 60% defeats and managing only 20% wins on the road. The visitors concede an average of 1.2 goals per away game, which significantly diminishes their chances when facing the hosts' resolute defense. The disparity in quality, league position, and home/away statistics clearly points to a Mebrat Hayl victory, although a draw remains a possibility given the hosts' recent streak of three draws.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mebrat Hayl | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Mebrat Hayl · 1.6 pts / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mebrat Hayl is 24% better for: goals scored per game.
0.67 goals / game - Mebrat Hayl · 0.54 goals / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Mebrat Hayl is 229% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.42 goals / game - Mebrat Hayl · 1.38 goals / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Mebrat Hayl scores in 50% of games (6 of 12 meczów), while Welwalo Adigrat Uni keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 meczów).
Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores in 46% of games (6 of 13 meczów), while Mebrat Hayl keeps a clean sheet in 67% (8 of 12 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mebrat Hayl
Over / Under - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.83 pts / game - Mebrat Hayl · 1 pts / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mebrat Hayl - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 15%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mebrat Hayl
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mebrat Hayl | Liga | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.08 | 1.79 | ▲ 1.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 17% | 44% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 8% | 29% | ▲ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 37% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 17% | 58% | ▲ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 67% | 61% | ▼ 46% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Mebrat Hayl vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mebrat Hayl 0:0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mebrat Hayl vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Mebrat Hayl score 0.67 goals per game on average and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0.54. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 17% of Mebrat Hayl's matches and 38% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's.
What form are Mebrat Hayl and Welwalo Adigrat Uni in?
Over the last 5 games Mebrat Hayl have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mebrat Hayl vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.