Mekelakeya vs Ethiopia Bunna: match statistics
Mekelakeya sits third in the table and boasts a solid home record with 50% clean sheets and an average of just 0.67 goals conceded per home game. However, their recent form is concerning, with only one win in the last five matches and a 50% draw rate in home games this season. Despite their 15th position, Ethiopia Bunna is showing improved form, recording two wins and two draws in their last five fixtures. The visitors hold an impressive 60% draw rate in away matches alongside a solid defense (0.6 goals conceded per away game). xG statistics suggest a balanced contest (1.4 vs 1.04), while the visitors' high possession (68%) indicates controlled gameplay. Considering the hosts' tendency to draw at home and Ethiopia Bunna's recent stability on the road, a share of the points is the most likely scenario.
Mekelakeya vs Ethiopia Bunna: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mekelakeya played against Ethiopia Bunna in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on December 31, 2025. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Mekelakeya has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Ethiopia Bunna has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Mekelakeya scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 0.83. Ethiopia Bunna scores 0.82 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 1.80 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 58% of Mekelakeya's games and 45% of Ethiopia Bunna's. The Over 2.5 rates are 42% and 36%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 29% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mekelakeya has the higher season xG average, 1.45 to 1.26 per game. Mekelakeya takes 9.3 shots per game, while Ethiopia Bunna takes 7.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Mekelakeya leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.33 goals per game after halftime. Ethiopia Bunna leads at halftime in 18% and scores 0.36 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mekelakeya's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Ethiopia Bunna, it is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.80 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 29% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mekelakeya sits third in the table and boasts a solid home record with 50% clean sheets and an average of just 0.67 goals conceded per home game. However, their recent form is concerning, with only one win in the last five matches and a 50% draw rate in home games this season. Despite their 15th position, Ethiopia Bunna is showing improved form, recording two wins and two draws in their last five fixtures. The visitors hold an impressive 60% draw rate in away matches alongside a solid defense (0.6 goals conceded per away game). xG statistics suggest a balanced contest (1.4 vs 1.04), while the visitors' high possession (68%) indicates controlled gameplay. Considering the hosts' tendency to draw at home and Ethiopia Bunna's recent stability on the road, a share of the points is the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mekelakeya | Ethiopia Bunna | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.46 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ethiopia Bunna is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Mekelakeya · 1.6 pts / game - Ethiopia Bunna
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelakeya is 83% better for: goals scored per game.
1.5 goals / game - Mekelakeya · 0.82 goals / game - Ethiopia Bunna
Mekelakeya is 20% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.83 goals / game - Mekelakeya · 1 goals / game - Ethiopia Bunna
Mekelakeya scores in 83% of games (10 of 12 meczów), while Ethiopia Bunna keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 meczów).
Ethiopia Bunna scores in 55% of games (6 of 11 meczów), while Mekelakeya keeps a clean sheet in 42% (5 of 12 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mekelakeya
Over / Under - Ethiopia Bunna
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelakeya is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.92 pts / game - Mekelakeya · 1.27 pts / game - Ethiopia Bunna
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mekelakeya - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 42%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Ethiopia Bunna - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mekelakeya
Ethiopia Bunna
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mekelakeya | Liga | Ethiopia Bunna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.33 | 1.80 | • 1.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 44% | • 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 42% | 29% | ▲ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 37% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 58% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 67% | 61% | ▲ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Ethiopia BunnaGoalDivine NwachukwuAssist: Abubakar Adamu
FAQ
What was the result of Mekelakeya vs Ethiopia Bunna?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mekelakeya 0:1 Ethiopia Bunna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mekelakeya vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Mekelakeya score 1.50 goals per game on average and Ethiopia Bunna 0.82. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Mekelakeya's matches and 45% of Ethiopia Bunna's.
What form are Mekelakeya and Ethiopia Bunna in?
Over the last 5 games Mekelakeya have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Ethiopia Bunna 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mekelakeya vs Ethiopia Bunna?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.