Mekelakeya vs Kedus Giorgis: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most probable outcome. Mekelakeya displays weak home form with only 25% wins at home and a 0 goal difference, dropping points in recent matches. Kedus Giorgis, despite a better away position (38% wins), is also in average form with three draws in their last five meetings. Both teams have identical conversion rates (9%), similar average xG (1.37 vs 1.36), and an identical percentage of matches without scoring (38%), confirming their balanced offensive potential. The hosts' defense is slightly better in home matches (0.88 vs 0.75 goals conceded), but this difference is insufficient to clearly indicate a favorite. Considering all factors, a draw seems the most logical conclusion for this match.
Mekelakeya vs Kedus Giorgis: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mekelakeya played against Kedus Giorgis in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on January 22, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Mekelakeya has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Kedus Giorgis has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Mekelakeya scores 1.31 goals per game and allows 0.94. Kedus Giorgis scores 1.00 and allows 0.67. Games in this league average 1.75 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Mekelakeya's games and 33% of Kedus Giorgis's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 13%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 28% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mekelakeya has the higher season xG average, 1.37 to 1.36 per game. Mekelakeya takes 9.3 shots per game, while Kedus Giorgis takes 9.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Mekelakeya leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.44 goals per game after halftime. Kedus Giorgis leads at halftime in 40% and scores 0.40 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mekelakeya's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Kedus Giorgis, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.75 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 28% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most probable outcome. Mekelakeya displays weak home form with only 25% wins at home and a 0 goal difference, dropping points in recent matches. Kedus Giorgis, despite a better away position (38% wins), is also in average form with three draws in their last five meetings. Both teams have identical conversion rates (9%), similar average xG (1.37 vs 1.36), and an identical percentage of matches without scoring (38%), confirming their balanced offensive potential. The hosts' defense is slightly better in home matches (0.88 vs 0.75 goals conceded), but this difference is insufficient to clearly indicate a favorite. Considering all factors, a draw seems the most logical conclusion for this match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mekelakeya | Kedus Giorgis | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelakeya is 31% better for: goals scored per game.
1.31 goals / game - Mekelakeya · 1 goals / game - Kedus Giorgis
Kedus Giorgis is 40% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.94 goals / game - Mekelakeya · 0.67 goals / game - Kedus Giorgis
Mekelakeya scores in 75% of games (12 of 16 meczów), while Kedus Giorgis keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 meczów).
Kedus Giorgis scores in 67% of games (10 of 15 meczów), while Mekelakeya keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mekelakeya
Over / Under - Kedus Giorgis
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mekelakeya - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Kedus Giorgis - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mekelakeya
Kedus Giorgis
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mekelakeya | Liga | Kedus Giorgis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.25 | 1.75 | • 1.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 43% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 38% | 28% | ▼ 13% |
| Clean sheets | • 38% | 39% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 57% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 63% | 57% | ▲ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- MekelakeyaGoalFetudin Jemal
- MekelakeyaGoalFetudin Jemal
FAQ
What was the result of Mekelakeya vs Kedus Giorgis?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mekelakeya 2:0 Kedus Giorgis. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mekelakeya vs Kedus Giorgis?
Mekelakeya score 1.31 goals per game on average and Kedus Giorgis 1.00. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Mekelakeya's matches and 33% of Kedus Giorgis's.
What form are Mekelakeya and Kedus Giorgis in?
Over the last 5 games Mekelakeya have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Kedus Giorgis 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mekelakeya vs Kedus Giorgis?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mekelakeya vs Kedus Giorgis: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.