Mekelakeya vs Kedus Giorgis: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most probable outcome. Mekelakeya displays weak home form with only 25% wins at home and a 0 goal difference, dropping points in recent matches. Kedus Giorgis, despite a better away position (38% wins), is also in average form with three draws in their last five meetings. Both teams have identical conversion rates (9%), similar average xG (1.37 vs 1.36), and an identical percentage of matches without scoring (38%), confirming their balanced offensive potential. The hosts' defense is slightly better in home matches (0.88 vs 0.75 goals conceded), but this difference is insufficient to clearly indicate a favorite. Considering all factors, a draw seems the most logical conclusion for this match.
Mekelakeya vs Kedus Giorgis: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mekelakeya play Kedus Giorgis in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 22 January 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Mekelakeya: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Kedus Giorgis: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mekelakeya scores 1.15 and concedes 0.85 goals per match. Kedus Giorgis scores 0.89 and concedes 0.84. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mekelakeya 41%, Kedus Giorgis 32%. Over 2.5: Mekelakeya 31%, Kedus Giorgis 24%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Mekelakeya has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.22. Mekelakeya: 8.6 shots per match, Kedus Giorgis: 8.0.
Match halves
Mekelakeya: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.46. Kedus Giorgis: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.35.
Goals by minute
Mekelakeya: 31-45+ (13 goals). Kedus Giorgis: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Statistical analysis points to very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most probable outcome. Mekelakeya displays weak home form with only 25% wins at home and a 0 goal difference, dropping points in recent matches. Kedus Giorgis, despite a better away position (38% wins), is also in average form with three draws in their last five meetings. Both teams have identical conversion rates (9%), similar average xG (1.37 vs 1.36), and an identical percentage of matches without scoring (38%), confirming their balanced offensive potential. The hosts' defense is slightly better in home matches (0.88 vs 0.75 goals conceded), but this difference is insufficient to clearly indicate a favorite. Considering all factors, a draw seems the most logical conclusion for this match.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mekelakeya | Kedus Giorgis | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kedus Giorgis is 225% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Mekelakeya · 2.6 pts / match - Kedus Giorgis
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelakeya is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.15 goals / match - Mekelakeya · 0.89 goals / match - Kedus Giorgis
Mekelakeya scores in 67% of matches (26 of 39 matches), while Kedus Giorgis keeps a clean sheet in 38% (14 of 37 matches).
Kedus Giorgis scores in 59% of matches (22 of 37 matches), while Mekelakeya keeps a clean sheet in 46% (18 of 39 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mekelakeya
Over / Under — Kedus Giorgis
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mekelakeya - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kedus Giorgis - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mekelakeya
Kedus Giorgis
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mekelakeya | Liga | Kedus Giorgis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.00 | 1.78 | • 1.73 |
| Both teams scored | • 41% | 40% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 31% | 28% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 40% | ▼ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 59% | 56% | ▲ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 54% | 59% | • 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mekelakeya 0 - 0 - 1 Kedus Giorgis. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mekelakeya vs Kedus Giorgis?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mekelakeya 2:0 Kedus Giorgis. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mekelakeya vs Kedus Giorgis?
Mekelakeya score 1.15 goals per game on average and Kedus Giorgis 0.89. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Mekelakeya's matches and 32% of Kedus Giorgis's.
What form are Mekelakeya and Kedus Giorgis in?
Over the last 5 games Mekelakeya have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Kedus Giorgis 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mekelakeya vs Kedus Giorgis?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mekelakeya vs Kedus Giorgis: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.