Mekelakeya vs Sheger Ketema: match statistics
Mekelakeya holds a high 2nd position in the table and is displaying significantly better form than Sheger Ketema, who find themselves in 16th place. The hosts have won 3 out of their last 5 matches overall, averaging 1.8 points per match, while the visitors have recorded a series of 5 consecutive draws with just 1 point per match. In home matches, Mekelakeya boasts a positive goal difference (+2), an 11% conversion rate, and 44% clean sheets, which surpasses Sheger Ketema's away stats (goal difference -3, 0.75 goals per match). Sheger Ketema has a tendency to draw (38% away, a series of 5 draws), increasing the likelihood of a points split. However, the hosts' advantage in ball possession (54% vs 46%) and higher xG (1.34 vs 1.16) indicate their greater chances of victory. Taking all factors into account, Mekelakeya should win, although the visitors' defensive approach could lead to a tightly contested match.
Mekelakeya vs Sheger Ketema: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mekelakeya played against Sheger Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on January 31, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Mekelakeya has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Sheger Ketema has 0 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Mekelakeya scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 0.83. Sheger Ketema scores 0.81 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 1.72 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of Mekelakeya's games and 50% of Sheger Ketema's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 31%, compared with league averages of 40% for BTTS and 27% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mekelakeya has the higher season xG average, 1.35 to 1.10 per game. Mekelakeya takes 8.9 shots per game, while Sheger Ketema takes 7.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Mekelakeya leads at halftime in 44% of its games and scores 0.39 goals per game after halftime. Sheger Ketema leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.38 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mekelakeya's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). For Sheger Ketema, it is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.72 goals. Both teams score in 40% of games, and 27% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mekelakeya holds a high 2nd position in the table and is displaying significantly better form than Sheger Ketema, who find themselves in 16th place. The hosts have won 3 out of their last 5 matches overall, averaging 1.8 points per match, while the visitors have recorded a series of 5 consecutive draws with just 1 point per match. In home matches, Mekelakeya boasts a positive goal difference (+2), an 11% conversion rate, and 44% clean sheets, which surpasses Sheger Ketema's away stats (goal difference -3, 0.75 goals per match). Sheger Ketema has a tendency to draw (38% away, a series of 5 draws), increasing the likelihood of a points split. However, the hosts' advantage in ball possession (54% vs 46%) and higher xG (1.34 vs 1.16) indicate their greater chances of victory. Taking all factors into account, Mekelakeya should win, although the visitors' defensive approach could lead to a tightly contested match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mekelakeya | Sheger Ketema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Mekelakeya is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Mekelakeya · 1 pts / game - Sheger Ketema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelakeya is 64% better for: goals scored per game.
1.33 goals / game - Mekelakeya · 0.81 goals / game - Sheger Ketema
Mekelakeya is 20% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.83 goals / game - Mekelakeya · 1 goals / game - Sheger Ketema
Mekelakeya scores in 78% of games (14 of 18 meczów), while Sheger Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 meczów).
Sheger Ketema scores in 63% of games (10 of 16 meczów), while Mekelakeya keeps a clean sheet in 44% (8 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mekelakeya
Over / Under - Sheger Ketema
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelakeya is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.72 pts / game - Mekelakeya · 1.25 pts / game - Sheger Ketema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mekelakeya - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Sheger Ketema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 19%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mekelakeya
Sheger Ketema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mekelakeya | Liga | Sheger Ketema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.17 | 1.72 | • 1.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 44% | 40% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 33% | 27% | ▲ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 44% | 41% | ▼ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 55% | ▼ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | • 56% | 57% | • 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Mekelakeya vs Sheger Ketema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mekelakeya 0:1 Sheger Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mekelakeya vs Sheger Ketema?
Mekelakeya score 1.33 goals per game on average and Sheger Ketema 0.81. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Mekelakeya's matches and 50% of Sheger Ketema's.
What form are Mekelakeya and Sheger Ketema in?
Over the last 5 games Mekelakeya have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Sheger Ketema 0-5-0 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mekelakeya vs Sheger Ketema?
The statistical background for Mekelakeya vs Sheger Ketema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.