Mekelle Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna: match statistics
Analysis indicates a draw as the most likely outcome of this match. Mekelle Kenema is showing solid form in their last five matches (1.8 points per game, WDDWD run), remaining unbeaten, which is their biggest asset. Ethiopia Bunna, on the other hand, has poorer current form (0.8 points per game, LWDLL run), but away from home this season they have been decent with a 38% win rate and an impressive 50% clean sheets. The hosts have an advantage in expected goals at home (xG 1.35 vs xGA 1.23), but their low scoring efficiency (only 1.25 goals on average at home) and high percentage of draws in home matches (63%) suggest difficulties in breaking down the visitors' defense. Considering Ethiopia Bunna's defensive solidity away from home (0.75 goals conceded on average) and the hosts' tendency to draw, I expect a closely contested match ending in a share of the points.
Mekelle Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mekelle Kenema played against Ethiopia Bunna in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on February 1, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Mekelle Kenema has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Ethiopia Bunna has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Mekelle Kenema scores 0.94 goals per game and allows 1.06. Ethiopia Bunna scores 0.82 and allows 1.12. Games in this league average 1.72 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of Mekelle Kenema's games and 41% of Ethiopia Bunna's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 35%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 27% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mekelle Kenema has the higher season xG average, 1.23 to 1.16 per game. Mekelle Kenema takes 6.7 shots per game, while Ethiopia Bunna takes 7.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Mekelle Kenema leads at halftime in 35% of its games and scores 0.35 goals per game after halftime. Ethiopia Bunna leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.35 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mekelle Kenema's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). For Ethiopia Bunna, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.72 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 27% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Analysis indicates a draw as the most likely outcome of this match. Mekelle Kenema is showing solid form in their last five matches (1.8 points per game, WDDWD run), remaining unbeaten, which is their biggest asset. Ethiopia Bunna, on the other hand, has poorer current form (0.8 points per game, LWDLL run), but away from home this season they have been decent with a 38% win rate and an impressive 50% clean sheets. The hosts have an advantage in expected goals at home (xG 1.35 vs xGA 1.23), but their low scoring efficiency (only 1.25 goals on average at home) and high percentage of draws in home matches (63%) suggest difficulties in breaking down the visitors' defense. Considering Ethiopia Bunna's defensive solidity away from home (0.75 goals conceded on average) and the hosts' tendency to draw, I expect a closely contested match ending in a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mekelle Kenema | Ethiopia Bunna | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Mekelle Kenema is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Mekelle Kenema · 0.8 pts / game - Ethiopia Bunna
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelle Kenema is 15% better for: goals scored per game.
0.94 goals / game - Mekelle Kenema · 0.82 goals / game - Ethiopia Bunna
Mekelle Kenema is 6% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.06 goals / game - Mekelle Kenema · 1.12 goals / game - Ethiopia Bunna
Mekelle Kenema scores in 65% of games (11 of 17 meczów), while Ethiopia Bunna keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 meczów).
Ethiopia Bunna scores in 59% of games (10 of 17 meczów), while Mekelle Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mekelle Kenema
Over / Under - Ethiopia Bunna
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelle Kenema is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / game - Mekelle Kenema · 1.29 pts / game - Ethiopia Bunna
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mekelle Kenema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 18%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Ethiopia Bunna - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mekelle Kenema
Ethiopia Bunna
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mekelle Kenema | Liga | Ethiopia Bunna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.00 | 1.72 | ▲ 1.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 41% | • 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 41% | 27% | ▲ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 35% | 41% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 54% | ▲ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 59% | 57% | ▲ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Ethiopia BunnaGoalRamkel James
FAQ
What was the result of Mekelle Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mekelle Kenema 1:1 Ethiopia Bunna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mekelle Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Mekelle Kenema score 0.94 goals per game on average and Ethiopia Bunna 0.82. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Mekelle Kenema's matches and 41% of Ethiopia Bunna's.
What form are Mekelle Kenema and Ethiopia Bunna in?
Over the last 5 games Mekelle Kenema have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Ethiopia Bunna 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mekelle Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mekelle Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.