Mekelle Kenema vs Fasil Ketema: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Mekelle Kenema play Fasil Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 7 December 2025 at 14:00. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Mekelle Kenema: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Fasil Ketema: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Mekelle Kenema scores 0.79 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Fasil Ketema scores 0.74 and concedes 0.74. League average: 1.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Mekelle Kenema 37%, Fasil Ketema 26%. Over 2.5: Mekelle Kenema 34%, Fasil Ketema 18%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

xG, shots and style

Fasil Ketema has higher xG: 1.14 vs 1.10. Mekelle Kenema: 6.4 shots per match, Fasil Ketema: 7.2.

Match halves

Mekelle Kenema: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.42. Fasil Ketema: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.42.

Goals by minute

Mekelle Kenema: 46-60 (9 goals). Fasil Ketema: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

49Possession (%)51
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
8Shots7
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
5Shots on target1
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
1.36xG1.05
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
3Corners2
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
69Dangerous attacks73
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
9Fouls14
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
0Cards0
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
0.79Goals scored / match0.74
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
0.95Goals conceded / match0.74
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
49%Average possession46%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
2.42Shots on target / match2.24
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.37Shots per match7.24
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
2.42Shots on target2.24
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
12.4%Shot conversion10.2%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
49%Possession46%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
1.1xG for1.14
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
1.17xG against1.1
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema

Shooting quality

Mekelle Kenema: BalancedFasil Ketema: Balanced
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
Accuracy (shots on target)38%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Fasil Ketema is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Mekelle Kenema · 1.8 pts / match - Fasil Ketema

Mekelle Kenema
DDDLW
Season result split
21% W45% R34% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-17-13
1.08 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-10-5
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
LDDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.12Opponent xG: 1.16BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 40%
Fasil Ketema
LWWLW
Season result split
37% W34% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-13-11
1.45 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-9-5
Last 5 away
1-1-3
DLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.22Opponent xG: 1.13BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mekelle Kenema is 7% better for: goals scored per match.

0.79 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema · 0.74 goals / match - Fasil Ketema

Fasil Ketema is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.95 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema · 0.74 goals / match - Fasil Ketema

Mekelle Kenema scoring profile: more difficult

Mekelle Kenema scores in 53% of matches (20 of 38 matches), while Fasil Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 55% (21 of 38 matches).

Fasil Ketema scoring profile: mixed

Fasil Ketema scores in 58% of matches (22 of 38 matches), while Mekelle Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).

30Goals scored (season)28
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
36Goals conceded (season)28
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
1.74Average goals in match1.47
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
3Goals scored (last 5)4
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
3Goals conceded (last 5)2
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema

How often they score at least...

53%1 goal58%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
21%2 goals11%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
5%3 goals5%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
0%4 goals0%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema

How often they concede at least...

61%1 goal45%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
26%2 goals21%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
8%3 goals8%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
0%4 goals0%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

40%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time8%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
3%BTTS in both halves3%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
16%Scored in both halves8%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema

BTTS and goal count

24%Min. 3 goals and BTTS16%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
0%BTTS - last 50%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

55%Min. 1 goal before half-time34%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
18%Min. 2 goals before half-time8%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema

2nd half

61%Min. 1 goal after half-time61%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
32%Min. 2 goals after half-time32%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
5%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Fasil Ketema is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.16 pts / match - Mekelle Kenema · 1.42 pts / match - Fasil Ketema

Mekelle Kenema - half-time state
21% leading53% draw26% trailing
Fasil Ketema - half-time state
24% leading71% draw5% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.16Points per match (1st half)1.42
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
0.37Goals scored (1st half)0.32
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
0.39Goals conceded (1st half)0.13
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
0.76Average goals (1st half)0.45
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
66%Clean sheet before half-time87%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
68%No goal before half-time71%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema

After half-time (2nd half)

1.11Points per match (2nd half)1.18
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
0.42Goals scored (2nd half)0.42
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
0.55Goals conceded (2nd half)0.61
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
0.97Average goals (2nd half)1.03
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
58%Clean sheet after half-time63%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema
63%No goal after half-time63%
Mekelle KenemaFasil Ketema

Mekelle Kenema - second-half results

18% W55% R26% P
44
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.16
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Fasil Ketema - second-half results

24% W47% R29% P
54
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding154%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Mekelle Kenema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.60.6
1 goal40%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Fasil Ketema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.60
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match0.60.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Mekelle Kenema
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
8
5
16-30
3
6
31-45
9
7
46-60
2
5
61-75
5
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Fasil Ketema
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
2
3
16-30
6
0
31-45
3
9
46-60
6
6
61-75
7
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.61
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
32%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+87%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
31%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
20%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Mekelle Kenema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
109%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.12
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Fasil Ketema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Mekelle KenemaLigaFasil Ketema
Average goals in match 1.741.78 1.47
Both teams scored 37%40% 26%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 34%28% 18%
Clean sheets 39%40% 55%
Goal before half-time 55%56% 34%
Goal after half-time 61%59% 61%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.78
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
0.91
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+5%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defence advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Mekelle Kenema 1 - 0 - 0 Fasil Ketema. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Mekelle Kenema vs Fasil Ketema?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mekelle Kenema 1:1 Fasil Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Mekelle Kenema vs Fasil Ketema?

Mekelle Kenema score 0.79 goals per game on average and Fasil Ketema 0.74. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Mekelle Kenema's matches and 26% of Fasil Ketema's.

What form are Mekelle Kenema and Fasil Ketema in?

Over the last 5 games Mekelle Kenema have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Fasil Ketema 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mekelle Kenema vs Fasil Ketema?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.