Mekelle Kenema vs Sheger Ketema: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a close competition between teams low in the table. Mekelle Kenema has not yet won a home match this season (0% Win%), but shows stability with 67% draws and better recent form (1.6 PPG). Sheger Ketema shows 33% win efficiency away, but their recent form is weaker (0.8 PPG) with three losses in five matches. Both teams have an identical goal difference in their respective venues (-3 GD). Mekelle stands out with better average possession (51% vs 46%) and higher shot conversion (17% vs 13%), giving them an edge as hosts. Considering the hosts' struggle to secure wins at home and the visitors' instability away, the most likely scenario is a draw, with a slight advantage for the hosts due to home field advantage and better recent disposition.
Mekelle Kenema vs Sheger Ketema: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mekelle Kenema played against Sheger Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on January 9, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
Mekelle Kenema has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Sheger Ketema has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Mekelle Kenema scores 1.08 goals per game and allows 1.31. Sheger Ketema scores 1.00 and allows 1.25. Games in this league average 1.73 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 62% of Mekelle Kenema's games and 58% of Sheger Ketema's. The Over 2.5 rates are 46% and 42%, compared with league averages of 42% for BTTS and 27% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mekelle Kenema has the higher season xG average, 1.23 to 1.19 per game. Mekelle Kenema takes 7.2 shots per game, while Sheger Ketema takes 8.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Mekelle Kenema leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.46 goals per game after halftime. Sheger Ketema leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mekelle Kenema's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). For Sheger Ketema, it is minutes 61-75 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.73 goals. Both teams score in 42% of games, and 27% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a close competition between teams low in the table. Mekelle Kenema has not yet won a home match this season (0% Win%), but shows stability with 67% draws and better recent form (1.6 PPG). Sheger Ketema shows 33% win efficiency away, but their recent form is weaker (0.8 PPG) with three losses in five matches. Both teams have an identical goal difference in their respective venues (-3 GD). Mekelle stands out with better average possession (51% vs 46%) and higher shot conversion (17% vs 13%), giving them an edge as hosts. Considering the hosts' struggle to secure wins at home and the visitors' instability away, the most likely scenario is a draw, with a slight advantage for the hosts due to home field advantage and better recent disposition.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mekelle Kenema | Sheger Ketema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Mekelle Kenema is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Mekelle Kenema · 0.8 pts / game - Sheger Ketema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelle Kenema is 8% better for: goals scored per game.
1.08 goals / game - Mekelle Kenema · 1 goals / game - Sheger Ketema
Sheger Ketema is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.31 goals / game - Mekelle Kenema · 1.25 goals / game - Sheger Ketema
Mekelle Kenema scores in 77% of games (10 of 13 meczów), while Sheger Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 meczów).
Sheger Ketema scores in 75% of games (9 of 12 meczów), while Mekelle Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mekelle Kenema
Over / Under - Sheger Ketema
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelle Kenema is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / game - Mekelle Kenema · 1.33 pts / game - Sheger Ketema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mekelle Kenema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 15%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Sheger Ketema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mekelle Kenema
Sheger Ketema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mekelle Kenema | Liga | Sheger Ketema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.38 | 1.73 | ▲ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 42% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 46% | 27% | ▲ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 39% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 69% | 57% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Mekelle Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mekelle Kenema 0:0 Sheger Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mekelle Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?
Mekelle Kenema score 1.08 goals per game on average and Sheger Ketema 1.00. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Mekelle Kenema's matches and 58% of Sheger Ketema's.
What form are Mekelle Kenema and Sheger Ketema in?
Over the last 5 games Mekelle Kenema have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Sheger Ketema 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mekelle Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?
The statistical background for Mekelle Kenema vs Sheger Ketema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.