Mekelle Kenema vs Welayta Dicha: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates even chances for both teams, with a slight edge for a draw scenario. Mekelle Kenema shows poor form over their last five matches (0.8 PPG), but at home, they have a solid draw record (55% Draw%) and a low loss rate (27%). Welayta Dicha is in better recent form (2.0 PPG), but they win only 9% of their away matches and draw a massive 45% of their road fixtures. Expected goals (xG) are even for both teams, which supports the prediction of a low-scoring game. Given the hosts' tendency to draw at home and the visitors' poor away efficiency, a share of the spoils is the most likely outcome.
Mekelle Kenema vs Welayta Dicha: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mekelle Kenema played against Welayta Dicha in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on March 15, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
Mekelle Kenema has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Welayta Dicha has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Mekelle Kenema scores 0.83 goals per game and allows 1.00. Welayta Dicha scores 1.13 and allows 1.13. Games in this league average 1.78 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Mekelle Kenema's games and 65% of Welayta Dicha's. The Over 2.5 rates are 35% and 35%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 27% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Welayta Dicha has the higher season xG average, 1.35 to 1.18 per game. Mekelle Kenema takes 6.5 shots per game, while Welayta Dicha takes 8.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Mekelle Kenema leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.35 goals per game after halftime. Welayta Dicha leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.74 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mekelle Kenema's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). For Welayta Dicha, it is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.78 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 27% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates even chances for both teams, with a slight edge for a draw scenario. Mekelle Kenema shows poor form over their last five matches (0.8 PPG), but at home, they have a solid draw record (55% Draw%) and a low loss rate (27%). Welayta Dicha is in better recent form (2.0 PPG), but they win only 9% of their away matches and draw a massive 45% of their road fixtures. Expected goals (xG) are even for both teams, which supports the prediction of a low-scoring game. Given the hosts' tendency to draw at home and the visitors' poor away efficiency, a share of the spoils is the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mekelle Kenema | Welayta Dicha | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Welayta Dicha is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Mekelle Kenema · 2 pts / game - Welayta Dicha
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Welayta Dicha is 36% better for: goals scored per game.
0.83 goals / game - Mekelle Kenema · 1.13 goals / game - Welayta Dicha
Mekelle Kenema is 13% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Mekelle Kenema · 1.13 goals / game - Welayta Dicha
Mekelle Kenema scores in 61% of games (14 of 23 meczów), while Welayta Dicha keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 meczów).
Welayta Dicha scores in 70% of games (16 of 23 meczów), while Mekelle Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mekelle Kenema
Over / Under - Welayta Dicha
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelle Kenema is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.26 pts / game - Mekelle Kenema · 1 pts / game - Welayta Dicha
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mekelle Kenema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 17%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Welayta Dicha - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mekelle Kenema
Welayta Dicha
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Mekelle Kenema | Liga | Welayta Dicha | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 1.83 | 1.78 | ▲ 2.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 48% | 41% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 35% | 27% | ▲ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 35% | 40% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 65% | 54% | ▲ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | • 57% | 58% | ▲ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Mekelle Kenema's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Welayta Dicha. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Mekelle Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Mekelle Kenema 0:0 Welayta Dicha. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mekelle Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?
Mekelle Kenema score 0.83 goals per game on average and Welayta Dicha 1.13. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Mekelle Kenema's matches and 65% of Welayta Dicha's.
What form are Mekelle Kenema and Welayta Dicha in?
Over the last 5 games Mekelle Kenema have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Welayta Dicha 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mekelle Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.