Melbourne City FC vs Melbourne Victory FC: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely even, justifying the prediction of a draw. Melbourne City FC has a minimal home advantage, but their home form is unstable (38% wins, 38% losses), and their last five matches have yielded only 1.2 PPG. Melbourne Victory FC displays better goal-scoring efficiency (24 goals this season compared to the hosts' 19) and slightly better recent form (1.4 PPG). The key factor is Melbourne City's advantage in ball possession (62% vs 50%) and a higher xG in home matches (1.66 compared to the visitors' 1.75 away), suggesting an even quality of both teams. Statistics indicate a high-scoring match - the hosts average 2.0 goals per match at home, the visitors 2.56 away - which increases the probability of various scoreline scenarios. Considering all the data, a draw seems the most likely result of this Melbourne derby.
Melbourne City FC vs Melbourne Victory FC: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Melbourne City FC played against Melbourne Victory FC in A-League (Australia). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Melbourne City FC has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Melbourne Victory FC has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Melbourne City FC scores 1.12 goals per game and allows 1.24. Melbourne Victory FC scores 1.41 and allows 1.29. Games in this league average 2.82 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 47% of Melbourne City FC's games and 41% of Melbourne Victory FC's. The Over 2.5 rates are 35% and 47%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Melbourne Victory FC has the higher season xG average, 1.82 to 1.47 per game. Melbourne City FC takes 12.4 shots per game, while Melbourne Victory FC takes 16.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Melbourne City FC leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.59 goals per game after halftime. Melbourne Victory FC leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.88 after halftime.
When the teams score
Melbourne City FC's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Melbourne Victory FC, it is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
A-League games average 2.82 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be extremely even, justifying the prediction of a draw. Melbourne City FC has a minimal home advantage, but their home form is unstable (38% wins, 38% losses), and their last five matches have yielded only 1.2 PPG. Melbourne Victory FC displays better goal-scoring efficiency (24 goals this season compared to the hosts' 19) and slightly better recent form (1.4 PPG). The key factor is Melbourne City's advantage in ball possession (62% vs 50%) and a higher xG in home matches (1.66 compared to the visitors' 1.75 away), suggesting an even quality of both teams. Statistics indicate a high-scoring match - the hosts average 2.0 goals per match at home, the visitors 2.56 away - which increases the probability of various scoreline scenarios. Considering all the data, a draw seems the most likely result of this Melbourne derby.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Melbourne City FC | Melbourne Victory FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Melbourne Victory FC is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Melbourne City FC · 1.4 pts / game - Melbourne Victory FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Melbourne Victory FC is 26% better for: goals scored per game.
1.12 goals / game - Melbourne City FC · 1.41 goals / game - Melbourne Victory FC
Melbourne City FC scores in 71% of games (12 of 17 meczów), while Melbourne Victory FC keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 meczów).
Melbourne Victory FC scores in 59% of games (10 of 17 meczów), while Melbourne City FC keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Melbourne City FC
Over / Under - Melbourne Victory FC
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Melbourne Victory FC is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / game - Melbourne City FC · 1.24 pts / game - Melbourne Victory FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Melbourne City FC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Melbourne Victory FC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Melbourne City FC
Melbourne Victory FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A-League).
Teams vs league
| Melbourne City FC | Liga | Melbourne Victory FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.35 | 2.82 | ▼ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 56% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 55% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 25% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 73% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 59% | 77% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Melbourne City FC's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Melbourne Victory FC. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Melbourne City FC vs Melbourne Victory FC?
The A-League match finished Melbourne City FC 1:3 Melbourne Victory FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Melbourne City FC and Melbourne Victory FC?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Melbourne City FC won 1, Melbourne Victory FC won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Melbourne City FC vs Melbourne Victory FC?
Melbourne City FC score 1.12 goals per game on average and Melbourne Victory FC 1.41. The A-League average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Melbourne City FC's matches and 41% of Melbourne Victory FC's.
What form are Melbourne City FC and Melbourne Victory FC in?
Over the last 5 games Melbourne City FC have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Melbourne Victory FC 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Melbourne City FC vs Melbourne Victory FC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.