Melgar vs Sporting Cristal: match statistics
Melgar vs Sporting Cristal: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Melgar played against Sporting Cristal in Primera División (Peru). The game was played on July 26, 2026. Venue: Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustín. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Melgar has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Sporting Cristal has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Melgar scores 1.78 goals per game and allows 1.17. Sporting Cristal scores 1.61 and allows 1.67. Games in this league average 2.66 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 72% of Melgar's games and 78% of Sporting Cristal's. The Over 2.5 rates are 61% and 72%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Sporting Cristal has the higher season xG average, 1.71 to 1.46 per game. Melgar takes 14.0 shots per game, while Sporting Cristal takes 15.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Melgar leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.89 goals per game after halftime. Sporting Cristal leads at halftime in 33% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Melgar's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). For Sporting Cristal, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.66 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Melgar is the clear favorite at home: they score 2.11 goals per home match and concede only 0.89, have a 67% home win rate and 44% clean sheets at home. Sporting Cristal average 1.22 goals and concede 2.00 per away match, with only an 11% away win rate and 11% clean sheets, indicating defensive issues on the road. In the last 5 matches Melgar scored 12 goals (2.4 avg) and averages 2.2 points per match, while Sporting scored 7 goals (1.4 avg) and has 1.2 points per match, confirming the hosts’ superior form. Melgar also generates higher-quality chances — home xG 1.56 vs away xG 1.46, 5 shots on target per match versus 4.33 and a higher shot conversion rate 14% compared to Sporting’s 9%, so more of their attempts turn into goals. Considering Melgar’s lower expected goals conceded (xG against 1.22 vs Sporting 1.86) along with advantages in form and efficiency, I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a very high BTTS rate this season: Melgar 78% and Sporting Cristal 78%, versus a league average of 57%. Melgar averages 2.0 goals scored and concedes 1.33, while Sporting scores 1.22 and concedes 2.0, indicating offensive potential on both sides and defensive vulnerability. In the last 5 matches Melgar has BTTS at 100% (5/5) scoring 12 goals (2.4/match), and Sporting has 60% BTTS with 7 goals (1.4/match) and 9 conceded (1.8/match), further increasing the likelihood of goals at both ends. xG confirms this: attacking xG is 1.95 for Melgar versus 1.46 for Sporting, and xG against is 1.09 versus 1.86; Melgar averages 6.22 shots on target compared to Sporting's 4.33, suggesting a home offensive edge alongside the visitors' defensive susceptibility. Considering 78% for both teams, Melgar's 100% BTTS in the last 5 and low clean sheet percentages (22% vs 11%), I pick BTTS - Yes and estimate BTTS probability at 85% vs 15%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have 89% of season matches with over 1.5 goals, and both teams scoring (BTTS) occurs in 78% of games, strongly supporting at least two goals. Estimated xG is roughly 1.90 for Melgar (attacking xG 1.95 and Sporting conceded xG 1.86 -> (1.95+1.86)/2=1.905) and 1.28 for Sporting (attacking xG 1.46 and Melgar conceded xG 1.09 -> (1.46+1.09)/2=1.275), totalling about 3.18 goals. Melgar in the last 5 matches scores on average 2.4 goals and registers 6.22 shots on target with an 11% conversion rate, while Sporting scores 1.4 goals on average, records 4.33 shots on target and has a 9% conversion; Sporting also concedes 1.8 goals on average in the last five. Given the 89% occurrence of over 1.5, the high 78% rate of BTTS, and combined xG=3.18, I recommend playing Over 1.5 goals as the strongest and safest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis indicates the most likely scenario is Melgar leading at half-time and the hosts winning at full-time (1/1). In their last 5 matches Melgar led at the break in 3 of 5 (60%), while Sporting Cristal led in only 1 of 5 (20%), giving Melgar the advantage for the first half. Melgar produces on average 1.95 xG versus Cristal’s 1.46 and registers 6.22 shots on target per game compared to the visitors’ 4.33, and the season-long home win rate is 56% versus the visitors’ 11%, which confirms the advantage for the full match. After the break Melgar scores on average 1.33 goals while Cristal scores 0.67, and Sporting Cristal concedes on average 1.86 xG, so a visitor turnaround after half-time is unlikely. Therefore I strongly back 1/1 as the clearest signal, with alternatives X/1 (20%) and 1/X (15%) remaining possible due to the high season percentage of both-teams-to-score matches (78%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Melgar | Sporting Cristal | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Melgar is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - Melgar · 1.4 pts / game - Sporting Cristal
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Melgar is 11% better for: goals scored per game.
1.78 goals / game - Melgar · 1.61 goals / game - Sporting Cristal
Melgar is 43% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.17 goals / game - Melgar · 1.67 goals / game - Sporting Cristal
Melgar scores in 89% of games (16 of 18 meczów), while Sporting Cristal keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 meczów).
Sporting Cristal scores in 94% of games (17 of 18 meczów), while Melgar keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Melgar
Over / Under - Sporting Cristal
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Melgar is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.83 pts / game - Melgar · 1.33 pts / game - Sporting Cristal
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Melgar - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Sporting Cristal - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Melgar
Sporting Cristal
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Melgar | Liga | Sporting Cristal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.94 | 2.66 | ▲ 3.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 72% | 57% | ▲ 78% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 53% | ▲ 72% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 25% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 64% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 80% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Melgar's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Sporting Cristal. Games average 1.67 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Melgar vs Sporting Cristal?
The Primera División match finished Melgar 2:1 Sporting Cristal. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Melgar and Sporting Cristal?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Melgar won 2, Sporting Cristal won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Melgar vs Sporting Cristal?
Melgar score 1.78 goals per game on average and Sporting Cristal 1.61. The Primera División average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 72% of Melgar's matches and 78% of Sporting Cristal's.
What form are Melgar and Sporting Cristal in?
Over the last 5 games Melgar have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Sporting Cristal 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Melgar vs Sporting Cristal?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.