Melgar vs UTC Cajamarca: match statistics
Melgar vs UTC Cajamarca: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Melgar play UTC Cajamarca in Primera División (Peru). The match date is 4 May 2026 at 01:00. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Melgar: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. UTC Cajamarca: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Melgar scores 1.78 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. UTC Cajamarca scores 1.22 and concedes 1.61. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Melgar 72%, UTC Cajamarca 61%. Over 2.5: Melgar 61%, UTC Cajamarca 56%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Melgar has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.36. Melgar: 14.0 shots per match, UTC Cajamarca: 12.2.
Match halves
Melgar: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.89. UTC Cajamarca: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Melgar: 31-45+ (8 goals). UTC Cajamarca: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Melgar are the favorites and I predict a home win (1). At home Melgar concedes on average 1.00 goal per match and has 50% clean sheets, while UTC concedes on the road on average 2.00 goals and has 0% clean sheets, which gives the hosts a significant defensive advantage. Both teams score on average 1.67 goals per match, but in the last 5 matches UTC scored 8 and conceded 10, and Melgar scored 7 and conceded 7, indicating greater defensive instability for the visitors. UTC has higher xG and more on-target shots away (xG 1.53 vs 1.34 and 5.67 on-target shots vs 3.83), which suggests chance creation, however their higher average conceded goals (2.00) and lack of clean sheets limit their effectiveness. Additionally Melgar average 1.4 points in the last 5 matches versus 0.6 points for UTC and have a home goal difference of +4 compared to the visitors' -2 on the road, therefore I assess the chances at 60% for the hosts, 25% for a draw and 15% for the visitors.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Melgar | UTC Cajamarca | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Melgar is 450% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Melgar · 0.4 pts / match - UTC Cajamarca
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Melgar is 46% better for: goals scored per match.
1.78 goals / match - Melgar · 1.22 goals / match - UTC Cajamarca
Melgar is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Melgar · 1.61 goals / match - UTC Cajamarca
Melgar scores in 89% of matches (16 of 18 matches), while UTC Cajamarca keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).
UTC Cajamarca scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Melgar keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Melgar
Over / Under — UTC Cajamarca
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Melgar is 83% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.83 pts / match - Melgar · 1 pts / match - UTC Cajamarca
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Melgar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
UTC Cajamarca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Melgar | Liga | UTC Cajamarca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.94 | 2.67 | ▲ 2.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 72% | 58% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 53% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 24% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 65% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 80% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Melgar 2 - 0 - 0 UTC Cajamarca. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Melgar vs UTC Cajamarca?
The Primera División match finished Melgar 2:0 UTC Cajamarca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Melgar and UTC Cajamarca?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Melgar won 2, UTC Cajamarca won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Melgar vs UTC Cajamarca?
Melgar score 1.78 goals per game on average and UTC Cajamarca 1.22. The Primera División average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 72% of Melgar's matches and 61% of UTC Cajamarca's.
What form are Melgar and UTC Cajamarca in?
Over the last 5 games Melgar have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and UTC Cajamarca 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Melgar vs UTC Cajamarca?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.