Mes Rafsanjan vs Esteghlal: match statistics
Esteghlal appears to be the clear favorite in this match. Mes Rafsanjan sits in the last, 16th place in the table with just a 20% home win rate and an alarming record of 13 goals scored against 28 conceded throughout the season. The hosts fail to score in 70% of their home matches, rendering their attack practically helpless. Esteghlal, on the other hand, shows solid away form with 60% draws and a positive goal difference (+2), boasting significantly better offensive statistics (averaging 0.8 goals per away match compared to the hosts' 0.6). A higher average xG (1.51 vs 0) and better shooting accuracy (4 shots on target per match) further support the visitors. Considering Mes Rafsanjan's poor form and Esteghlal's stability, I expect an away win, although their tendency to draw (60% of away matches) does not rule out a share of the points.
Mes Rafsanjan vs Esteghlal: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mes Rafsanjan played against Esteghlal in Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran). The game was played on February 22, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Mes Rafsanjan has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Esteghlal has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Mes Rafsanjan scores 0.62 goals per game and allows 1.33. Esteghlal scores 1.20 and allows 0.80. Games in this league average 1.79 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 29% of Mes Rafsanjan's games and 45% of Esteghlal's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 30%, compared with league averages of 39% for BTTS and 27% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Esteghlal has the higher season xG average, 1.30 to 0.87 per game. Mes Rafsanjan takes -0.2 shots per game, while Esteghlal takes 2.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Mes Rafsanjan leads at halftime in 10% of its games and scores 0.33 goals per game after halftime. Esteghlal leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.60 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mes Rafsanjan's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Esteghlal, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Persian Gulf Pro League games average 1.79 goals. Both teams score in 39% of games, and 27% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Esteghlal appears to be the clear favorite in this match. Mes Rafsanjan sits in the last, 16th place in the table with just a 20% home win rate and an alarming record of 13 goals scored against 28 conceded throughout the season. The hosts fail to score in 70% of their home matches, rendering their attack practically helpless. Esteghlal, on the other hand, shows solid away form with 60% draws and a positive goal difference (+2), boasting significantly better offensive statistics (averaging 0.8 goals per away match compared to the hosts' 0.6). A higher average xG (1.51 vs 0) and better shooting accuracy (4 shots on target per match) further support the visitors. Considering Mes Rafsanjan's poor form and Esteghlal's stability, I expect an away win, although their tendency to draw (60% of away matches) does not rule out a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mes Rafsanjan | Esteghlal | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 0% | 19% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.00 | 0.45 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.00 | 2.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Esteghlal is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Mes Rafsanjan · 1.6 pts / game - Esteghlal
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Esteghlal is 94% better for: goals scored per game.
0.62 goals / game - Mes Rafsanjan · 1.2 goals / game - Esteghlal
Esteghlal is 66% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.33 goals / game - Mes Rafsanjan · 0.8 goals / game - Esteghlal
Mes Rafsanjan scores in 38% of games (8 of 21 meczów), while Esteghlal keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 meczów).
Esteghlal scores in 70% of games (14 of 20 meczów), while Mes Rafsanjan keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mes Rafsanjan
Over / Under - Esteghlal
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Esteghlal is 79% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.81 pts / game - Mes Rafsanjan · 1.45 pts / game - Esteghlal
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mes Rafsanjan - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 10% of games and wins 14%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Esteghlal - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mes Rafsanjan
Esteghlal
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Persian Gulf Pro League).
Teams vs league
| Mes Rafsanjan | Liga | Esteghlal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 1.95 | 1.79 | ▲ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 39% | ▲ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 29% | 27% | ▲ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 41% | • 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 62% | 53% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | • 62% | 63% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Mes Rafsanjan's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Esteghlal. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Mes Rafsanjan vs Esteghlal?
The Persian Gulf Pro League match finished Mes Rafsanjan 0:1 Esteghlal. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mes Rafsanjan vs Esteghlal?
Mes Rafsanjan score 0.62 goals per game on average and Esteghlal 1.20. The Persian Gulf Pro League average is 1.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Mes Rafsanjan's matches and 45% of Esteghlal's.
What form are Mes Rafsanjan and Esteghlal in?
Over the last 5 games Mes Rafsanjan have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Esteghlal 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mes Rafsanjan vs Esteghlal?
The statistical background for Mes Rafsanjan vs Esteghlal — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.