Métlaoui vs Marsa: match statistics
Métlaoui vs Marsa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Métlaoui play Marsa in Ligue 1 (Tunisia). The match date is 13 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Métlaoui: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Marsa: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Métlaoui scores 0.63 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. Marsa scores 0.87 and concedes 1.10. League average: 1.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Métlaoui 23%, Marsa 20%. Over 2.5: Métlaoui 17%, Marsa 33%. League level: BTTS 26%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Marsa has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.16. Métlaoui: 6.0 shots per match, Marsa: 10.1.
Match halves
Métlaoui: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.37. Marsa: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Métlaoui: 76-90+ (6 goals). Marsa: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 1.73 goals per match, BTTS 26%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a draw (X): the hosts register as many as 75% draws at home, which substantially increases the likelihood of a points split. Métlaoui defends effectively at their stadium — conceding only 0.58 goals per match on average and keeping a clean sheet in 58% of home games, whereas Marsa concedes 1.00 goal away on average and has just 27% clean sheets. Marsa’s attack is statistically more productive: the visitors score 1.09 goals away, register 4.78 shots on target and have roughly 11% conversion, versus Métlaoui’s 0.83 goals, 3 shots on target and 7% conversion at home; additionally Marsa fail to score in 55% of away matches, which limits their point-scoring potential. xG indicates similar chance creation — average xG for Métlaoui at home 1.32 versus Marsa’s away xG 1.25, while xG against Marsa is 1.43 compared to 1.13 for the hosts, giving Métlaoui a slight defensive edge and favoring a low-goal outcome. Considering recent form over the last 5 matches (Métlaoui: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss, averaging 1.2 points; Marsa: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, averaging 1.4 points) and the high share of home draws, I estimate probabilities at approximately 35% for the home win, 45% for a draw, and 20% for the away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Métlaoui | Marsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Métlaoui is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Métlaoui · 1.4 pts / match - Marsa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Marsa is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
0.63 goals / match - Métlaoui · 0.87 goals / match - Marsa
Métlaoui is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.83 goals / match - Métlaoui · 1.1 goals / match - Marsa
Métlaoui scores in 50% of matches (15 of 30 matches), while Marsa keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 matches).
Marsa scores in 50% of matches (15 of 30 matches), while Métlaoui keeps a clean sheet in 53% (16 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Métlaoui
Over / Under — Marsa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Métlaoui is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Métlaoui · 1.03 pts / match - Marsa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Métlaoui - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Marsa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Métlaoui
Marsa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Métlaoui | Liga | Marsa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.47 | 1.73 | ▲ 1.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 23% | 26% | ▼ 20% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 17% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 45% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 60% | ▲ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Métlaoui 1 - 0 - 0 Marsa. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Métlaoui vs Marsa?
The Ligue 1 match finished Métlaoui 1:0 Marsa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Métlaoui vs Marsa?
Métlaoui score 0.63 goals per game on average and Marsa 0.87. The Ligue 1 average is 1.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 23% of Métlaoui's matches and 20% of Marsa's.
What form are Métlaoui and Marsa in?
Over the last 5 games Métlaoui have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Marsa 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Métlaoui vs Marsa?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Métlaoui vs Marsa: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.