Metz vs Brest: match statistics
Brest appear to be the favorites in this match despite their weaker away form. Metz are in 18th place in the table with just 3 wins this season and are in disastrous form – 0 wins in their last 5 matches and only 3 goals scored. The hosts struggle to score goals (FTS% 45% at home) and have the worst home record (18% win rate). Brest, on the other hand, have shown better form recently (1.6 points per match in their last 5 games vs 0.2 for Metz) with 2 wins and 2 draws. Although the visitors also have a 55% loss rate away from home, their shooting efficiency (13% conversion rate vs 9% for Metz) and better average goals (1.18 vs 0.91) give them an advantage. The difference in form between the two teams and Metz's desperate situation in the table point to an away win, although a draw is also plausible due to both teams' weaknesses.
Metz vs Brest: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Metz played against Brest in Ligue 1 (France). The game was played on March 1, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Metz has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Brest has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Metz scores 0.96 goals per game and allows 2.26. Brest scores 1.35 and allows 1.48. Games in this league average 2.80 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 52% of Metz's games and 48% of Brest's. The Over 2.5 rates are 61% and 52%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Brest has the higher season xG average, 1.30 to 1.00 per game. Metz takes 8.8 shots per game, while Brest takes 11.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Metz leads at halftime in 9% of its games and scores 0.57 goals per game after halftime. Brest leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.65 after halftime.
When the teams score
Metz's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Brest, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligue 1 games average 2.80 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Brest appear to be the favorites in this match despite their weaker away form. Metz are in 18th place in the table with just 3 wins this season and are in disastrous form – 0 wins in their last 5 matches and only 3 goals scored. The hosts struggle to score goals (FTS% 45% at home) and have the worst home record (18% win rate). Brest, on the other hand, have shown better form recently (1.6 points per match in their last 5 games vs 0.2 for Metz) with 2 wins and 2 draws. Although the visitors also have a 55% loss rate away from home, their shooting efficiency (13% conversion rate vs 9% for Metz) and better average goals (1.18 vs 0.91) give them an advantage. The difference in form between the two teams and Metz's desperate situation in the table point to an away win, although a draw is also plausible due to both teams' weaknesses.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Metz | Brest | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Brest is 700% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Metz · 1.6 pts / game - Brest
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Brest is 41% better for: goals scored per game.
0.96 goals / game - Metz · 1.35 goals / game - Brest
Brest is 53% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.26 goals / game - Metz · 1.48 goals / game - Brest
Metz scores in 61% of games (14 of 23 meczów), while Brest keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 meczów).
Brest scores in 70% of games (16 of 23 meczów), while Metz keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Metz
Over / Under - Brest
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Brest is 108% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.65 pts / game - Metz · 1.35 pts / game - Brest
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Metz - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 9% of games and wins 13%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Brest - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -7 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Metz
Brest
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Metz | Liga | Brest | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.22 | 2.80 | • 2.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 49% | • 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 51% | • 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 29% | • 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 72% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 77% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Metz's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Brest. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Metz vs Brest?
The Ligue 1 match finished Metz 0:1 Brest. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Metz vs Brest?
Metz score 0.96 goals per game on average and Brest 1.35. The Ligue 1 average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Metz's matches and 48% of Brest's.
What form are Metz and Brest in?
Over the last 5 games Metz have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Brest 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Metz vs Brest?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Metz vs Brest: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.