France - Ligue 2Stade Saint-SymphorienData current as of October 29, 2026

Metz vs Pau: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Metz vs Pau: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Metz plays Pau in Ligue 2 (France). The game is scheduled for October 30, 2026. Venue: Stade Saint-Symphorien.

Recent form

Metz has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Pau has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Metz scores 1.60 goals per game and allows 1.40. Pau scores 1.30 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.68 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 80% of Metz's games and 50% of Pau's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 40%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Pau has the higher season xG average, 1.53 to 1.49 per game. Metz takes 13.7 shots per game, while Pau takes 14.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Metz leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.80 goals per game after halftime. Pau leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.70 after halftime.

When the teams score

Metz's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Pau, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ligue 2 games average 2.68 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.99)
(3.58)
(3.48)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.6Goals scored / game1.3
MetzPau
1.4Goals allowed / game1
MetzPau
52%Average possession49%
MetzPau
4.6Shots on target / game4.4
MetzPau

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.7Shots per game14.4
MetzPau
4.6Shots on target4.4
MetzPau
11.7%Shot conversion9%
MetzPau
52%Possession49%
MetzPau
1.49xG for1.53
MetzPau
1.56xG against1.29
MetzPau

Shooting quality

Metz: BalancedPau: Attacking
MetzPau
Accuracy (shots on target)34%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Pau is 140% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Metz · 2.4 pts / game - Pau

Metz
LDLWD
Season result split
30% W50% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-5-2
1.40 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-2-0
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WDWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.67BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Pau
LWWWW
Season result split
50% W20% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-3
1.70 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 away
2-1-1
WDLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Metz is 23% better for: goals scored per game.

1.6 goals / game - Metz · 1.3 goals / game - Pau

Pau is 40% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.4 goals / game - Metz · 1 goals / game - Pau

Metz scoring profile: very strong

Metz scores in 80% of games (8 of 10 games), while Pau keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 games).

Pau scoring profile: very strong

Pau scores in 70% of games (7 of 10 games), while Metz keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 games).

16Goals scored (season)13
MetzPau
14Goals conceded (season)10
MetzPau
3Average goals per game2.3
MetzPau
8Goals scored (last 5)9
MetzPau
10Goals conceded (last 5)5
MetzPau

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal70%
MetzPau
50%2 goals50%
MetzPau
20%3 goals10%
MetzPau
10%4 goals0%
MetzPau

How often they concede at least...

90%1 goal80%
MetzPau
30%2 goals20%
MetzPau
10%3 goals0%
MetzPau
10%4 goals0%
MetzPau

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

30%BTTS at half-time20%
MetzPau
10%BTTS in both halves10%
MetzPau
30%Scored in both halves10%
MetzPau

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
MetzPau
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
MetzPau
80%BTTS - last 560%
MetzPau

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
MetzPau
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
MetzPau
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
MetzPau

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
MetzPau
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time30%
MetzPau
30%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
MetzPau

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Metz is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / game - Metz · 1.4 pts / game - Pau

Metz - half-time state
30% leading60% draw10% trailing
Pau - half-time state
30% leading50% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per game (1st half)1.4
MetzPau
0.8Goals scored (1st half)0.6
MetzPau
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
MetzPau
1.3Average goals (1st half)1
MetzPau
70%Clean sheet before half-time60%
MetzPau
50%No goal before half-time60%
MetzPau

After half-time (2nd half)

1.1Points per game (2nd half)1.3
MetzPau
0.8Goals scored (2nd half)0.7
MetzPau
0.9Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
MetzPau
1.7Average goals (2nd half)1.3
MetzPau
30%Clean sheet after half-time40%
MetzPau
40%No goal after half-time60%
MetzPau

Metz - second-half results

20% W50% D30% L
15
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Pau - second-half results

40% W10% D50% L
14
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding167%

Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Metz - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.600.40
Goals scored / game0.80.8
Goals allowed / game0.61.4
Average goals per game1.42.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet80%0%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Pau - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.80
Goals scored / game0.61.2
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game1.01.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Metz
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
2
2
16-30
3
3
31-45
3
4
46-60
0
4
61-75
5
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Pau
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
0
46-60
1
3
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.65
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Metz

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
117%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

Pau

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.70
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).

Teams vs league

MetzLigaPau
Average goals per game▲ 3.002.68▼ 2.30
Both teams scored▲ 80%59%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%48%▼ 40%
Clean sheets▼ 10%25%▼ 20%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%62%▼ 60%
Goal after half-time• 80%81%▲ 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.68
Average goals per game
59%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.37
Home goals / game
1.31
Away goals / game
+5%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defensive advantage
+3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Metz and Pau play?

Metz face Pau on October 30, 2026 in Ligue 2 at Stade Saint-Symphorien. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Metz vs Pau?

Metz score 1.60 goals per game on average and Pau 1.30. The Ligue 2 average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Metz's matches and 50% of Pau's.

What form are Metz and Pau in?

Over the last 5 games Metz have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Pau 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Metz vs Pau?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Metz vs Pau: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.