Metz vs Toulouse: match statistics
Toulouse appears to be the favorite for this matchup despite playing away. Metz sits 18th in the table with disastrous form - zero wins in their last 5 matches and a mere 17% home win rate. The hosts have scored only 1 goal in their last 5 games, and their shot conversion rate is just 8%. Toulouse, despite mediocre recent form (0.4 PPG), has a considerably better away record - a 33% win rate and a positive goal difference (+1). The visitors boast better scoring efficiency (10% conversion) and fail to score less frequently (33% FTS%). Given the massive difference in quality and form between the two teams, a Toulouse victory is the most probable scenario, although the visitors' weak form and Metz's struggles could lead to a draw.
Metz vs Toulouse: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Metz played against Toulouse in Ligue 1 (France). The game was played on March 15, 2026. Final score: 3:4.
Recent form
Metz has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Toulouse has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, with 0.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Metz scores 0.88 goals per game and allows 2.24. Toulouse scores 1.32 and allows 1.16. Games in this league average 2.75 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Metz's games and 40% of Toulouse's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 44%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Toulouse has the higher season xG average, 1.46 to 1.05 per game. Metz takes 9.2 shots per game, while Toulouse takes 13.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Metz leads at halftime in 8% of its games and scores 0.52 goals per game after halftime. Toulouse leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.84 after halftime.
When the teams score
Metz's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Toulouse, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligue 1 games average 2.75 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Toulouse appears to be the favorite for this matchup despite playing away. Metz sits 18th in the table with disastrous form - zero wins in their last 5 matches and a mere 17% home win rate. The hosts have scored only 1 goal in their last 5 games, and their shot conversion rate is just 8%. Toulouse, despite mediocre recent form (0.4 PPG), has a considerably better away record - a 33% win rate and a positive goal difference (+1). The visitors boast better scoring efficiency (10% conversion) and fail to score less frequently (33% FTS%). Given the massive difference in quality and form between the two teams, a Toulouse victory is the most probable scenario, although the visitors' weak form and Metz's struggles could lead to a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Metz | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Toulouse is 50% better for: goals scored per game.
0.88 goals / game - Metz · 1.32 goals / game - Toulouse
Toulouse is 93% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.24 goals / game - Metz · 1.16 goals / game - Toulouse
Metz scores in 56% of games (14 of 25 meczów), while Toulouse keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 meczów).
Toulouse scores in 64% of games (16 of 25 meczów), while Metz keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Metz
Over / Under - Toulouse
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Toulouse is 69% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.64 pts / game - Metz · 1.08 pts / game - Toulouse
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Metz - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 8% of games and wins 12%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Toulouse - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Metz
Toulouse
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Metz | Liga | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.12 | 2.75 | ▼ 2.48 |
| Both teams scored | • 48% | 47% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 50% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 30% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 70% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 77% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Metz's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Toulouse. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Metz vs Toulouse?
The Ligue 1 match finished Metz 3:4 Toulouse. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Metz vs Toulouse?
Metz score 0.88 goals per game on average and Toulouse 1.32. The Ligue 1 average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Metz's matches and 40% of Toulouse's.
What form are Metz and Toulouse in?
Over the last 5 games Metz have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Toulouse 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Metz vs Toulouse?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.