Mexico vs Ecuador: match statistics
Mexico vs Ecuador: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mexico played against Ecuador in World Cup (International). The game was played on July 1, 2026. Venue: Estadio Banorte. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Mexico has 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Ecuador has 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 1.33 points per game.
Scoring records
Mexico scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 0.00. Ecuador scores 0.67 and allows 0.67. Games in this league average 2.94 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 0% of Mexico's games and 33% of Ecuador's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 33%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ecuador has the higher season xG average, 1.85 to 1.23 per game. Mexico takes 11.7 shots per game, while Ecuador takes 15.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Mexico leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 1.67 goals per game after halftime. Ecuador leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.33 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mexico's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). For Ecuador, it is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
World Cup games average 2.94 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Typ 1X2 after 90 minutes: 1. Mexico has real home team advantage and will play with a lot of stadium energy, but Ecuador is physically strong and awkward in duels. This is not a match where the brand or the audience will be enough to gain a quiet advantage. Our minimum pick is Mexico, but the first goal for Ecuador would completely change the dynamic. Our prediction is 40% for Mexico, 31% for draw and 29% for Ecuador. Most likely exact score: 1-0. Promotion: Mexico (55% vs 45%). Status: NOBET
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Typ BTTS: no. Mexico has a real home team advantage and will play with a lot of stadium energy, but Ecuador is physically strong and awkward in matchups. This is not a match where the brand or the audience will be enough to gain a quiet advantage. Our minimum pick is Mexico, but the first goal for Ecuador would completely change the dynamic. Control of one side and the limited volume of underdog situations are more important here, so it is more likely that at least one team will finish the match without a goal. The model gives 44% on BTTS Yes and 56% on BTTS No, with expected goals Mexico 1.20, Ecuador 0.90. Status: SMALL BET
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Typ: under 2.5. Mexico has a real home team advantage and will play with a lot of stadium energy, but Ecuador is physically strong and awkward in matchups. This is not a match where the brand or the audience will be enough to gain a quiet advantage. Our minimum pick is Mexico, but the first goal for Ecuador would completely change the dynamic. The gateway model gives 35% on Over 2.5 and 65% on Under 2.5. xG: Mexico 1.20, Ecuador 0.90, total 2.10. Most likely result: 1-0. Line 2.5 separates a controlled match from an open match. In this pair, the underlying score and the need for caution after conceding a goal for the first time are more important than the teams' branding itself. Status: BET
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Typ HT/FT: X/X. Mexico has a real home team advantage and will play with a lot of stadium energy, but Ecuador is physically strong and awkward in matchups. This is not a match where the brand or the audience will be enough to gain a quiet advantage. Our minimum pick is Mexico, but the first goal for Ecuador would completely change the dynamic. We assume a cautious start and the outcome only after one side increases the risk or the favorite finds more space. The highest model paths are X/X 22%, 1/1 19% and X/1 19%. The HT/FT spread is calibrated to our 1X2 40%–31%–29% and does not use odds. Status: NOBET
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mexico | Ecuador | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.46 | 0.11 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Mexico is 126% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / game - Mexico · 1.33 pts / game - Ecuador
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mexico is 199% better for: goals scored per game.
2 goals / game - Mexico · 0.67 goals / game - Ecuador
Mexico scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 meczów), while Ecuador keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 meczów).
Ecuador scores in 33% of games (1 of 3 meczów), while Mexico keeps a clean sheet in 100% (3 of 3 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mexico
Over / Under - Ecuador
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mexico is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / game - Mexico · 1 pts / game - Ecuador
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mexico - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 100%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Ecuador - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.67 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.3 | 1.7 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.3 | 1.7 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 67% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Average goals per game | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 67% |
| No goal | 67% | 67% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mexico
Ecuador
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (World Cup).
Teams vs league
| Mexico | Liga | Ecuador | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.00 | 2.94 | ▼ 1.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 55% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 55% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 100% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 71% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 79% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Mexico vs Ecuador?
The World Cup match finished Mexico 2:0 Ecuador. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mexico vs Ecuador?
Mexico score 2.00 goals per game on average and Ecuador 0.67. The World Cup average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Mexico's matches and 33% of Ecuador's.
What form are Mexico and Ecuador in?
Over the last 5 games Mexico have a 3-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Ecuador 1-1-1 (1.33 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mexico vs Ecuador?
The statistical background for Mexico vs Ecuador — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.