Mexico vs South Africa: match statistics
Mexico vs South Africa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mexico play South Africa in World Cup (International). The match date is 11 June 2026 at 21:00. Venue: Estadio Banorte. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Mexico: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. South Africa: 1-1-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mexico scores 2.00 and concedes 0.60 goals per match. South Africa scores 0.50 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mexico 20%, South Africa 25%. Over 2.5: Mexico 40%, South Africa 0%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Mexico has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.02. Mexico: 14.0 shots per match, South Africa: 9.8.
Match halves
Mexico: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.20. South Africa: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Mexico: 61-75 (3 goals). South Africa: 61-75 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
World Cup: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Mexico has a tangible home advantage, superior attacking quality and should manage the game tempo better. South Africa can sit in a low block and hold the score for extended periods, but will struggle to consistently play out from pressure. Our probability distribution: Mexico 70%, draw 19%, South Africa 11%. The 1.44 price implies EV of approximately +0.8%, but the margin is too small or the risk too high to treat this as a value bet. The main risk is opening-match nerves and a scenario in which Mexico dominates but fails to convert their advantage into a goal for a long period. Status: NOBET.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mexico | South Africa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.48 | 0.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mexico is 140% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Mexico · 1 pts / match - South Africa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mexico is 300% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Mexico · 0.5 goals / match - South Africa
Mexico is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.6 goals / match - Mexico · 1 goals / match - South Africa
Mexico scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while South Africa keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
South Africa scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Mexico keeps a clean sheet in 80% (4 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mexico
Over / Under — South Africa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mexico is 220% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.6 pts / match - Mexico · 0.5 pts / match - South Africa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mexico - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
South Africa - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 100% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (1 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mexico
South Africa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (World Cup).
Teams vs league
| Mexico | Liga | South Africa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.60 | 2.91 | ▼ 1.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 20% | 55% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 56% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 80% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 70% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Mexico vs South Africa?
The World Cup match finished Mexico 2:0 South Africa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mexico vs South Africa?
Mexico score 2.00 goals per game on average and South Africa 0.50. The World Cup average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 20% of Mexico's matches and 25% of South Africa's.
What form are Mexico and South Africa in?
Over the last 5 games Mexico have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and South Africa 1-1-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mexico vs South Africa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.