Middelfart vs Hobro: match statistics
Hobro appears to be the favorite in this match despite playing away. Middelfart is in poor form with only a 10% home win rate and an average of 0.8 points per match in their last five games. The hosts have won only 2 matches all season and concede an average of 1.8 goals per home game. Hobro has better recent form (1.4 points per match), twice as many wins this season (5 vs 2), and a 20% away win rate compared to Middelfart's 10% home win rate. Both teams have an identical goal difference (-6), but Hobro shows greater defensive stability away (1.6 goals conceded) than Middelfart at home (1.8). The xG stats are even, but the advantage in form and efficiency favors the visitors.
Middelfart vs Hobro: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Middelfart played against Hobro in 1st Division (Denmark). The game was played on March 21, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Middelfart has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Hobro has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Middelfart scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 2.05. Hobro scores 1.00 and allows 1.48. Games in this league average 2.75 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 62% of Middelfart's games and 48% of Hobro's. The Over 2.5 rates are 71% and 38%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Hobro has the higher season xG average, 1.36 to 1.22 per game. Middelfart takes 10.1 shots per game, while Hobro takes 11.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Middelfart leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.52 goals per game after halftime. Hobro leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.52 after halftime.
When the teams score
Middelfart's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Hobro, it is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
1st Division games average 2.75 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hobro appears to be the favorite in this match despite playing away. Middelfart is in poor form with only a 10% home win rate and an average of 0.8 points per match in their last five games. The hosts have won only 2 matches all season and concede an average of 1.8 goals per home game. Hobro has better recent form (1.4 points per match), twice as many wins this season (5 vs 2), and a 20% away win rate compared to Middelfart's 10% home win rate. Both teams have an identical goal difference (-6), but Hobro shows greater defensive stability away (1.6 goals conceded) than Middelfart at home (1.8). The xG stats are even, but the advantage in form and efficiency favors the visitors.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Middelfart | Hobro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Hobro is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Middelfart · 1.4 pts / game - Hobro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hobro is 39% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.05 goals / game - Middelfart · 1.48 goals / game - Hobro
Middelfart scores in 67% of games (14 of 21 meczów), while Hobro keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 meczów).
Hobro scores in 71% of games (15 of 21 meczów), while Middelfart keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Middelfart
Over / Under - Hobro
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hobro is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.86 pts / game - Middelfart · 1.1 pts / game - Hobro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Middelfart - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 10%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Hobro - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 24%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Middelfart
Hobro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1st Division).
Teams vs league
| Middelfart | Liga | Hobro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.05 | 2.75 | ▼ 2.48 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 56% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 56% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 25% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | • 76% | 75% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 80% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Middelfart's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Hobro. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Middelfart vs Hobro?
The 1st Division match finished Middelfart 0:1 Hobro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Middelfart vs Hobro?
Middelfart score 1.00 goals per game on average and Hobro 1.00. The 1st Division average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Middelfart's matches and 48% of Hobro's.
What form are Middelfart and Hobro in?
Over the last 5 games Middelfart have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Hobro 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Middelfart vs Hobro?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.