Middlesbrough vs Southampton: match statistics
Middlesbrough presents solid home form with 58% wins at home and a +5 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts stand out with high efficiency in home matches, scoring an average of 1.33 goals with only 25% of matches ending without scoring. Southampton, on the other hand, is going through a clear crisis of form, failing to win any of their last 5 matches and gaining just 0.6 points per match. The visitors have serious defensive problems on the road, conceding an average of 1.77 goals and failing to keep a single clean sheet in away matches this season. Additionally, Southampton has a negative away goal difference (-2) and just 23% wins, which, combined with Middlesbrough's good home disposition, argues for a home win. A draw remains a realistic option due to the tendency of both teams to share points, but Middlesbrough's home advantage is the key factor.
Middlesbrough vs Southampton: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Middlesbrough played against Southampton in Championship (England). The game was played on January 4, 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Recent form
Middlesbrough has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Southampton has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Middlesbrough scores 1.32 goals per game and allows 1.04. Southampton scores 1.52 and allows 1.36. Games in this league average 2.60 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of Middlesbrough's games and 80% of Southampton's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 64%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Southampton has the higher season xG average, 1.63 to 1.58 per game. Middlesbrough takes 14.3 shots per game, while Southampton takes 14.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Middlesbrough leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 0.68 goals per game after halftime. Southampton leads at halftime in 28% and scores 0.68 after halftime.
When the teams score
Middlesbrough's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). For Southampton, it is minutes 16-30 (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.60 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Middlesbrough presents solid home form with 58% wins at home and a +5 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts stand out with high efficiency in home matches, scoring an average of 1.33 goals with only 25% of matches ending without scoring. Southampton, on the other hand, is going through a clear crisis of form, failing to win any of their last 5 matches and gaining just 0.6 points per match. The visitors have serious defensive problems on the road, conceding an average of 1.77 goals and failing to keep a single clean sheet in away matches this season. Additionally, Southampton has a negative away goal difference (-2) and just 23% wins, which, combined with Middlesbrough's good home disposition, argues for a home win. A draw remains a realistic option due to the tendency of both teams to share points, but Middlesbrough's home advantage is the key factor.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Middlesbrough | Southampton | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Middlesbrough is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Middlesbrough · 0.6 pts / game - Southampton
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Southampton is 15% better for: goals scored per game.
1.32 goals / game - Middlesbrough · 1.52 goals / game - Southampton
Middlesbrough is 31% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.04 goals / game - Middlesbrough · 1.36 goals / game - Southampton
Middlesbrough scores in 72% of games (18 of 25 meczów), while Southampton keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 meczów).
Southampton scores in 84% of games (21 of 25 meczów), while Middlesbrough keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Middlesbrough
Over / Under - Southampton
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Southampton is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / game - Middlesbrough · 1.36 pts / game - Southampton
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Middlesbrough - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Southampton - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Middlesbrough
Southampton
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Middlesbrough | Liga | Southampton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.36 | 2.60 | ▲ 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 58% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 51% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | • 24% | 24% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | • 72% | 73% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | • 76% | 77% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Middlesbrough's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Southampton. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Middlesbrough vs Southampton?
The Championship match finished Middlesbrough 4:0 Southampton. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Middlesbrough vs Southampton?
Middlesbrough score 1.32 goals per game on average and Southampton 1.52. The Championship average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Middlesbrough's matches and 80% of Southampton's.
What form are Middlesbrough and Southampton in?
Over the last 5 games Middlesbrough have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Southampton 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Middlesbrough vs Southampton?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Middlesbrough vs Southampton: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


