Midland vs Patronato: match statistics
Midland vs Patronato: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Midland played against Patronato in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The game was played on July 26, 2026. Venue: Estadio Ferrocarril Midland. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Midland has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Patronato has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Midland scores 1.05 goals per game and allows 0.75. Patronato scores 0.65 and allows 0.85. Games in this league average 1.88 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of Midland's games and 35% of Patronato's. The Over 2.5 rates are 25% and 15%, compared with league averages of 39% for BTTS and 31% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Midland has the higher season xG average, 1.76 to 1.20 per game. Midland takes 14.4 shots per game, while Patronato takes 9.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Midland leads at halftime in 35% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. Patronato leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.25 after halftime.
When the teams score
Midland's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Patronato, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Prim B Nacional games average 1.88 goals. Both teams score in 39% of games, and 31% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win. Midland has a clear advantage in chance creation: average xG in home matches is 2.09 versus just 0.99 xG for Patronato away, and average shots on target are 6.09 vs 2.5, indicating roughly twice as many quality opportunities for the hosts. The hosts average 1.18 goals per home match with a conversion rate of about 7%, while the visitors score only 0.4 goals away with a 5% conversion; additionally Patronato fail to score in 60% of away matches compared to 18% for Midland. Defensively Midland also performs better: they concede 0.55 goals at home and have 55% clean sheets, whereas Patronato concede 0.9 goals away and have 40% clean sheets; goal difference is +7 at home versus -5 away for the visitors. Form over the last 5 matches is mediocre for both sides: Midland average 1 point per match in the last 5 (run llddw) and have scored 4 goals, while Patronato average 0.8 points per match (run dddld) and have scored 3 goals, therefore I assess probabilities as 65% home, 25% draw and 10% away.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I predict BTTS - No: 65% (Yes: 35%). Arguments against BTTS: Patronato failed to score in 60% of their matches this season, Midland failed to score in 40%, and seasonal BTTS rates are 40% (Midland) and 30% (Patronato) vs a league average of 39%. In the last 5 fixtures BTTS occurred in 60% of meetings, but goal volumes are low: Midland scored 4 and conceded 5 in their last 5 (avg. 0.8 for and 1.0 against), Patronato scored 3 and conceded 4 (avg. 0.6 and 0.8). Chance-creation stats show some potential (recent xG 1.46 for Midland and 1.1 for Patronato, averages 12.0 shots and 3.3 on target vs 7.4 and 2.5), yet poor finishing (conversion 8% vs 5%) limits realistic scoring chances for both. Additionally, a high rate of clean sheets in the league (78%) and a low league goals average (1.89) reinforce the scenario that at least one side will remain without a goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and shooting metrics indicate a match with above-average goal potential: Midland generates 1.41 xG at home, Patronato 0.99 xG away, and average xG against both teams is 1.14 (home) and 1.20 (away), which when averaged yields expected 1.31 goals for Midland and 1.06 for Patronato, totaling 2.37. Midland averages 12 shots and 3.3 on target with 8% conversion, Patronato 7.4 shots and 2.5 on target with 5% conversion, so goal-scoring potential favors the home side. Season stats show Midland had 70% of matches over 1.5 goals, Patronato 50%, and combined with xG these indicators constitute a strong signal for Over 1.5 (I estimate 82%). The probability for Over 2.5 is moderate — season rates are only 20% (Midland) and 10% (Patronato), so I assign 34% for Over 2.5, while Over 3.5 has been 0% for both teams to date, hence a low 6% for Over 3.5. Therefore I recommend betting Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Midland has a clear advantage in chance creation: the home xG is 1.41 versus 0.99 for Patronato, with an average of 12 shots (3.3 on target) compared to 7.4 shots and 2.5 on target for the visitors, which favors the hosts. At half-time Midland averages 0.6 goals versus Patronato’s 0.2, and Midland led at the break in 40% of matches compared to 20% for Patronato, so a lead at the break for the home side is likely. At the same time the hosts draw 40% of home matches, the visitors draw 60% of away games, and the league records 78% of matches with a clean sheet, so there is a real risk of an equalizer and a draw at full-time. Considering the xG and shot advantage and Midland’s average of 1.7 goals per game versus Patronato’s 1.3, I view the 1/1 scenario as the strongest signal, but I assign meaningful probability to 1/X and X/X given the tendency toward draws.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Midland | Patronato | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Midland is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Midland · 0.8 pts / game - Patronato
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Midland is 62% better for: goals scored per game.
1.05 goals / game - Midland · 0.65 goals / game - Patronato
Midland is 13% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.75 goals / game - Midland · 0.85 goals / game - Patronato
Midland scores in 70% of games (14 of 20 meczów), while Patronato keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 meczów).
Patronato scores in 50% of games (10 of 20 meczów), while Midland keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Midland
Over / Under - Patronato
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Midland is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / game - Midland · 1.4 pts / game - Patronato
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Midland - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Patronato - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 20%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Midland
Patronato
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Midland | Liga | Patronato | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 1.80 | 1.88 | ▼ 1.50 |
| Both teams scored | • 40% | 39% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 31% | ▼ 15% |
| Clean sheets | • 40% | 39% | • 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 60% | 56% | • 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 69% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Midland's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Patronato. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Midland vs Patronato?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Midland 1:0 Patronato. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Midland vs Patronato?
Midland score 1.05 goals per game on average and Patronato 0.65. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Midland's matches and 35% of Patronato's.
What form are Midland and Patronato in?
Over the last 5 games Midland have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Patronato 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Midland vs Patronato?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.