Midtjylland vs Brøndby: match statistics
Midtjylland vs Brøndby: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Midtjylland played against Brøndby in Superliga (Denmark). The game was played on May 17, 2026. Venue: MCH Arena. Final score: 2:3.
Recent form
Midtjylland has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Brøndby has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Midtjylland scores 2.26 goals per game and allows 1.06. Brøndby scores 1.32 and allows 1.06. Games in this league average 3.05 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 61% of Midtjylland's games and 35% of Brøndby's. The Over 2.5 rates are 61% and 42%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Brøndby has the higher season xG average, 1.65 to 1.64 per game. Midtjylland takes 14.2 shots per game, while Brøndby takes 14.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Midtjylland leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 1.32 goals per game after halftime. Brøndby leads at halftime in 39% and scores 0.58 after halftime.
When the teams score
Midtjylland's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (17 goals). For Brøndby, it is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Superliga games average 3.05 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Midtjylland has a clear home offensive edge: they average 2.73 goals per match, produce 15 shots with 6.33 on target and an efficiency around 18%, while Brøndby on the road average 0.93 goals with 14.2 shots and only 4.47 on target with ~7% efficiency. The visitors, however, defend solidly away — conceding just 0.87 goals on average and recording 47% clean sheets, whereas Midtjylland at home concede 1.4 goals and have only 20% clean sheets, which may limit the margin of a home win. In their last 5 matches Midtjylland are unbeaten (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 6 and conceding 4 with 1.8 pts/match, while Brøndby are 2-1-2 with 8 scored and 6 conceded and 1.4 pts/match, so form favors the hosts. Differences in chance quality are confirmed by xG: hosts generate 1.78 xG at home versus 1.6 xG for the visitors away, and a possession edge of 58% vs 52% gives Midtjylland more opportunities. Considering the hosts’ higher finishing rate (18% vs 7%), Midtjylland’s low home loss rate (7%) and Brøndby’s solid but less effective attacking displays away, I estimate the probabilities at roughly: Home win 60%, Draw 25%, Brøndby win 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project No BTTS. Brøndby average only 0.93 goals per away match and show a low shot conversion rate of 7%, while recording 47% clean sheets and a season BTTS rate of just 20%. Despite an away xG of 1.60, their inefficiency (0.93 actual goals) indicates risk of missed chances. Midtjylland at home average 1.69 goals with xG 1.69 versus xG against 1.36, and a home BTTS rate of 50%, meaning hosts create more chances but that does not guarantee both teams to score. In the last 5 matches Midtjylland scored 6 and conceded 4 (1.2 and 0.8 avg), while Brøndby scored 8 and conceded 6 (1.6 and 1.2 avg), giving the hosts a slight defensive edge. Considering the league’s high BTTS rate of 59% but the strong signal from Brøndby (47% clean sheets and 7% conversion), I assign 35% to 'yes' and 65% to 'no', selecting 'no'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Midtjylland creates and converts a lot of chances: season xG is 1.69 and average goals scored 1.69 per match, while Brøndby has season xG 1.60 but scores only 0.93 on average, indicating lower finishing efficiency. Season shares of matches with over 1.5 goals are 81% for Midtjylland and 53% for Brøndby (average 67%), and the league averages 3.04 goals per match, so I rate Over 1.5 at 75%. At the 2.5 line season rates are 56% (Midtjylland) and 27% (Brøndby), and the last 5 matches for both teams show about 40% Over 2.5, hence I estimate Over 2.5 at 42%. Over 3.5 is unlikely: season values 31% and 7% give an average of ~19%, therefore I set Under 3.5 at 82%. I conservatively project 1.55 goals for Midtjylland and 1.15 for Brøndby (total 2.70), which further reinforces Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Midtjylland led at the break in 7 of their season matches (44%), while Brøndby led at the break in 5 matches (33%), but in the last 5 home fixtures the hosts were level at half-time in 5 out of 5 (100%), which increases the likelihood of a draw at the break. In the second half Midtjylland clearly dominate: on average 0.81 goals scored after the break versus 0.33 for Brøndby, and the hosts’ second-half goals per game are 1.63 compared to 0.93 for the visitors. xG are similar (1.69 for Midtjylland vs 1.60 for Brøndby), yet the hosts’ shot conversion of 12% versus the visitors’ 7% suggests Midtjylland are more likely to turn chances into goals after the break. Additionally, clean sheets are common at half-time (69% for Midtjylland and 80% for Brøndby), which favors a half-time draw and then a home turnaround in the second half; therefore I select the X/1 scenario as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Midtjylland | Brøndby | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Midtjylland is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Midtjylland · 1.4 pts / game - Brøndby
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Midtjylland is 71% better for: goals scored per game.
2.26 goals / game - Midtjylland · 1.32 goals / game - Brøndby
Midtjylland scores in 81% of games (25 of 31 meczów), while Brøndby keeps a clean sheet in 39% (12 of 31 meczów).
Brøndby scores in 61% of games (19 of 31 meczów), while Midtjylland keeps a clean sheet in 32% (10 of 31 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Midtjylland
Over / Under - Brøndby
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Brøndby is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / game - Midtjylland · 1.58 pts / game - Brøndby
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Midtjylland - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Brøndby - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Midtjylland
Brøndby
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Superliga).
Teams vs league
| Midtjylland | Liga | Brøndby | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.32 | 3.05 | ▼ 2.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 59% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 61% | 60% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 24% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 74% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 78% | ▼ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Midtjylland's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Brøndby. Games average 2.33 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Midtjylland vs Brøndby?
The Superliga match finished Midtjylland 2:3 Brøndby. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Midtjylland and Brøndby?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Midtjylland won 2, Brøndby won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Midtjylland vs Brøndby?
Midtjylland score 2.26 goals per game on average and Brøndby 1.32. The Superliga average is 3.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Midtjylland's matches and 35% of Brøndby's.
What form are Midtjylland and Brøndby in?
Over the last 5 games Midtjylland have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Brøndby 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Midtjylland vs Brøndby?
The statistical background for Midtjylland vs Brøndby — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.