Midtjylland vs Nordsjælland: match statistics
Midtjylland presents impressive home form with a 64% win rate and only 9% of matches where they failed to score at home. The hosts have a distinct advantage in attacking efficiency, scoring an average of 3.09 goals per game in home fixtures with a shot conversion rate of 20%, whereas Nordsjælland scores only 1.36 goals per game away. Defense is also a key factor: Midtjylland concedes an average of 1.27 goals at home, while Nordsjælland concedes a massive 2.27 goals on the road, with just a 9% clean sheet rate. Nordsjælland has very poor away form with a 64% loss rate and an irregular streak of results (wllwlwlllwl), which further favors the hosts. Given the goal difference (+20 for Midtjylland in home matches compared to -10 for Nordsjælland away) and higher xG metrics, a solid victory for the hosts is expected.
Midtjylland vs Nordsjælland: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Midtjylland play Nordsjælland in Superliga (Denmark). The match date is 15 March 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Midtjylland: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Nordsjælland: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Midtjylland scores 2.25 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Nordsjælland scores 1.59 and concedes 1.44. League average: 3.10 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Midtjylland 63%, Nordsjælland 53%. Over 2.5: Midtjylland 63%, Nordsjælland 59%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Midtjylland has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.63. Midtjylland: 14.3 shots per match, Nordsjælland: 13.5.
Match halves
Midtjylland: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.28. Nordsjælland: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Midtjylland: 76-90+ (17 goals). Nordsjælland: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Superliga: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Midtjylland presents impressive home form with a 64% win rate and only 9% of matches where they failed to score at home. The hosts have a distinct advantage in attacking efficiency, scoring an average of 3.09 goals per game in home fixtures with a shot conversion rate of 20%, whereas Nordsjælland scores only 1.36 goals per game away. Defense is also a key factor: Midtjylland concedes an average of 1.27 goals at home, while Nordsjælland concedes a massive 2.27 goals on the road, with just a 9% clean sheet rate. Nordsjælland has very poor away form with a 64% loss rate and an irregular streak of results (wllwlwlllwl), which further favors the hosts. Given the goal difference (+20 for Midtjylland in home matches compared to -10 for Nordsjælland away) and higher xG metrics, a solid victory for the hosts is expected.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Midtjylland | Nordsjælland | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Midtjylland is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
2.25 goals / match - Midtjylland · 1.59 goals / match - Nordsjælland
Midtjylland is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Midtjylland · 1.44 goals / match - Nordsjælland
Midtjylland scores in 81% of matches (26 of 32 matches), while Nordsjælland keeps a clean sheet in 28% (9 of 32 matches).
Nordsjælland scores in 78% of matches (25 of 32 matches), while Midtjylland keeps a clean sheet in 31% (10 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Midtjylland
Over / Under — Nordsjælland
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Midtjylland is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Midtjylland · 1.38 pts / match - Nordsjælland
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Midtjylland - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nordsjælland - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Midtjylland
Nordsjælland
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Superliga).
Teams vs league
| Midtjylland | Liga | Nordsjælland | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.38 | 3.10 | • 3.03 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 60% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 61% | ▼ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 23% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 74% | ▼ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 79% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Midtjylland 1 - 1 - 1 Nordsjælland. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Midtjylland vs Nordsjælland?
The Superliga match finished Midtjylland 0:1 Nordsjælland. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Midtjylland and Nordsjælland?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Midtjylland won 1, Nordsjælland won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Midtjylland vs Nordsjælland?
Midtjylland score 2.25 goals per game on average and Nordsjælland 1.59. The Superliga average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Midtjylland's matches and 53% of Nordsjælland's.
What form are Midtjylland and Nordsjælland in?
Over the last 5 games Midtjylland have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Nordsjælland 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Midtjylland vs Nordsjælland?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Midtjylland vs Nordsjælland: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.