Miedź Legnica II vs Stilon Gorzów: match statistics

Stilon Gorzów are showing clearly better form: they have taken 7 points from their last five matches thanks to 2 wins and a draw, while Miedź Legnica II have collected just 1 point and lost 4 games. The hosts have lost both of their home matches so far, scoring an average of just 0.5 goals, and failed to score in 50% of those fixtures. Away from home, the visitors average 2.5 goals per match and have never failed to find the net, while their 4 shots on target per game are well above Miedź’s 1.5. Miedź do have a higher average home xG of 1.57 compared with their opponents’ 1.15 away from home, but they convert these chances very poorly, with a 4% conversion rate. Both defenses concede an average of 1.5 goals, but Stilon’s significantly greater efficiency and positive away goal difference point towards an away win.

The signal for BTTS - Yes is clear, as Stilon Gorzów saw both teams score in 100% of their matches, while Miedź Legnica II did so in 67%. In their last five matches, both teams recorded BTTS in 80% of games, with Miedź conceding as many as 2.2 goals on average, while Stilon scored 1.8 goals. The hosts have not kept a clean sheet on any occasion, and neither have the visitors, increasing the likelihood of goals at both ends. Miedź should also create chances against a Stilon defense allowing an average of 1.73 xG to opponents, while the hosts generated 1.65 xG in their last five outings. The BTTS - Yes pick is further supported by the fact that 100% of Stilon's matches went over 2.5 goals and also ended with both teams scoring.

Stilon scores an average of 2.50 goals per game this season, while Miedź II Legnica conceded as many as 2.20 goals per match over their last five fixtures. Neither the home side nor the visitors have kept a single clean sheet, which significantly increases the likelihood of at least two goals. The 1.5 goal line has been exceeded in 100% of Stilon’s matches and in 67% of Miedź II’s games, while the league average stands at a high 3.09 goals. Recent form also points towards an open game: Miedź II’s last five matches produced an average of 3.60 goals, compared with 3.00 in Stilon’s games. The projected total of 3.15 goals gives a clear edge to Over 1.5 goals, the most reliable option among the available lines.

Stilon Gorzów has a clearly stronger first-half profile: they score an average of 1.0 goal before the break, while Miedź Legnica II have failed to score in this phase on any occasion. The hosts were trailing at half-time in 75% of their last five matches and conceded an average of 1.5 goals before the break, whereas Stilon went into half-time level in half of their recent games and were behind in only 25%. The visitors are also in better current form, averaging 1.4 points per match across their last five appearances compared with Miedź’s meagre 0.2, with the hosts losing four of those five fixtures. After the break, Stilon score an average of 1.5 goals, while both teams have kept a clean sheet in 0% of their matches this season, further supporting the scenario of the visitors maintaining or extending their lead through to full-time.