Poland - 1. LigaStadion im. Orła BiałegoData current as of October 17, 2026

Miedź Legnica vs Stal Mielec: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Miedź Legnica vs Stal Mielec: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Miedź Legnica plays Stal Mielec in 1. Liga (Poland). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: Stadion im. Orła Białego.

Recent form

Miedź Legnica has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Stal Mielec has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Miedź Legnica scores 1.40 goals per game and allows 1.00. Stal Mielec scores 1.60 and allows 2.40. Games in this league average 2.72 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Miedź Legnica's games and 80% of Stal Mielec's. The Over 2.5 rates are 40% and 70%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Miedź Legnica has the higher season xG average, 1.88 to 1.52 per game. Miedź Legnica takes 17.0 shots per game, while Stal Mielec takes 13.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Miedź Legnica leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Stal Mielec leads at halftime in 40% and scores 0.60 after halftime.

When the teams score

Miedź Legnica's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Stal Mielec, it is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

1. Liga games average 2.72 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.65)
(3.94)
(4.06)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
1.4Goals scored / game1.6
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
1Goals allowed / game2.4
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
53%Average possession48%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
4.6Shots on target / game3.9
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

17Shots per game13.6
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
4.6Shots on target3.9
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
8.2%Shot conversion11.8%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
53%Possession48%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
1.88xG for1.52
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
1.84xG against1.84
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec

Shooting quality

Miedź Legnica: AttackingStal Mielec: Balanced
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
Accuracy (shots on target)27%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.41

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Miedź Legnica
WDLLL
Season result split
40% W20% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-4
1.40 pts / game · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LWWDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.92Opponent xG: 1.95BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Stal Mielec
LDLLW
Season result split
30% W30% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-4
1.20 pts / game · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-3
Last 5 away
1-0-3
WLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.64Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Stal Mielec is 14% better for: goals scored per game.

1.4 goals / game - Miedź Legnica · 1.6 goals / game - Stal Mielec

Miedź Legnica is 140% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - Miedź Legnica · 2.4 goals / game - Stal Mielec

Miedź Legnica scoring profile: very strong

Miedź Legnica scores in 80% of games (8 of 10 games), while Stal Mielec keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 10 games).

Stal Mielec scoring profile: very strong

Stal Mielec scores in 80% of games (8 of 10 games), while Miedź Legnica keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 games).

14Goals scored (season)16
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
10Goals conceded (season)24
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
2.4Average goals per game4
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
6Goals scored (last 5)5
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
8Goals conceded (last 5)13
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal80%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
50%2 goals40%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
10%3 goals20%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
0%4 goals10%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec

How often they concede at least...

70%1 goal100%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
20%2 goals60%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
10%3 goals30%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
0%4 goals20%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

54%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time30%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
0%BTTS in both halves10%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
40%Scored in both halves20%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec

BTTS and goal count

30%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
80%BTTS - last 580%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time90%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time60%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time30%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Stal Mielec is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / game - Miedź Legnica · 1.4 pts / game - Stal Mielec

Miedź Legnica - half-time state
20% leading40% draw40% trailing
Stal Mielec - half-time state
40% leading20% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)1.4
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
0.4Goals scored (1st half)1
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
0.7Goals conceded (1st half)0.8
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
1.1Average goals (1st half)1.8
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
50%Clean sheet before half-time40%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
60%No goal before half-time40%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec

After half-time (2nd half)

2.1Points per game (2nd half)0.9
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.6
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
0.3Goals conceded (2nd half)1.6
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
1.3Average goals (2nd half)2.2
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
70%Clean sheet after half-time20%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec
20%No goal after half-time60%
Miedź LegnicaStal Mielec

Miedź Legnica - second-half results

60% W30% D10% L
10
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.4

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Stal Mielec - second-half results

20% W30% D50% L
14
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 30%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.8

Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Miedź Legnica - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.601.60
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game1.00.6
Average goals per game1.41.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Stal Mielec - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.800.80
Goals scored / game0.80.2
Goals allowed / game1.21.4
Average goals per game2.01.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference-2-6
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Miedź Legnica
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
1
2
16-30
0
3
31-45
1
1
46-60
3
0
61-75
6
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Stal Mielec
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
2
2
16-30
3
3
31-45
2
3
46-60
3
9
61-75
1
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.20
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.9 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
118%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-37%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
64%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Miedź Legnica

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.48
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.84
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.60
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
43% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
43%

Stal Mielec

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.48
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.56
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
130%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
161%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
6% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 31% come in the first quarter-hour.
6%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).

Teams vs league

Miedź LegnicaLigaStal Mielec
Average goals per game▼ 2.402.72▲ 4.00
Both teams scored▼ 50%54%▲ 80%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 40%51%▲ 70%
Clean sheets▲ 30%25%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▼ 70%75%▲ 90%
Goal after half-time▲ 90%77%▲ 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.72
Average goals per game
54%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.49
Home goals / game
1.23
Away goals / game
+21%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defensive advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Miedź Legnica's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Stal Mielec. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

MKS Miedź Legnica
1 : 0
FKS Stal Mielec
FKS Stal Mielec
1 : 2
MKS Miedź Legnica

FAQ

When do Miedź Legnica and Stal Mielec play?

Miedź Legnica face Stal Mielec on October 17, 2026 in 1. Liga at Stadion im. Orła Białego. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Miedź Legnica and Stal Mielec?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Miedź Legnica won 2, Stal Mielec won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Miedź Legnica vs Stal Mielec?

Miedź Legnica score 1.40 goals per game on average and Stal Mielec 1.60. The 1. Liga average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Miedź Legnica's matches and 80% of Stal Mielec's.

What form are Miedź Legnica and Stal Mielec in?

Over the last 5 games Miedź Legnica have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Stal Mielec 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Miedź Legnica vs Stal Mielec?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.