Mil Mugan FK vs Araz: match statistics
Araz presents itself as the clear favorite of this meeting despite playing away. The guests occupy 5th place in the table and have a significantly better offensive record, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per away match compared to only 0.71 goals for Mil Mugan FK at home. A key factor is Araz's effectiveness – their shot conversion is 17% with 3.63 shots on target per match, while the hosts have only 9% conversion and 2.86 shots on target. Mil Mugan FK is in fatal form with only 0.4 points per match in the last five meetings and has not won any of them, while Araz earned 1.2 points per match and won two of the last five games. Additionally, the hosts failed to score in 43% of their home matches, which, given Araz's solid xG advantage (1.16 vs 0.94), argues for a win for the guests.
Mil Mugan FK vs Araz: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mil Mugan FK played against Araz in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The game was played on January 23, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Mil Mugan FK has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Araz has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Mil Mugan FK scores 0.94 goals per game and allows 1.00. Araz scores 1.56 and allows 1.56. Games in this league average 2.51 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 25% of Mil Mugan FK's games and 69% of Araz's. The Over 2.5 rates are 31% and 56%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Araz has the higher season xG average, 1.28 to 0.94 per game. Mil Mugan FK takes 7.5 shots per game, while Araz takes 9.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Mil Mugan FK leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. Araz leads at halftime in 31% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mil Mugan FK's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Araz, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premyer Liqası games average 2.51 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Araz presents itself as the clear favorite of this meeting despite playing away. The guests occupy 5th place in the table and have a significantly better offensive record, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per away match compared to only 0.71 goals for Mil Mugan FK at home. A key factor is Araz's effectiveness – their shot conversion is 17% with 3.63 shots on target per match, while the hosts have only 9% conversion and 2.86 shots on target. Mil Mugan FK is in fatal form with only 0.4 points per match in the last five meetings and has not won any of them, while Araz earned 1.2 points per match and won two of the last five games. Additionally, the hosts failed to score in 43% of their home matches, which, given Araz's solid xG advantage (1.16 vs 0.94), argues for a win for the guests.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mil Mugan FK | Araz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Araz is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Mil Mugan FK · 1.4 pts / game - Araz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Araz is 66% better for: goals scored per game.
0.94 goals / game - Mil Mugan FK · 1.56 goals / game - Araz
Mil Mugan FK is 56% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Mil Mugan FK · 1.56 goals / game - Araz
Mil Mugan FK scores in 50% of games (8 of 16 meczów), while Araz keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 meczów).
Araz scores in 94% of games (15 of 16 meczów), while Mil Mugan FK keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mil Mugan FK
Over / Under - Araz
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Araz is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / game - Mil Mugan FK · 1.31 pts / game - Araz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mil Mugan FK - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Araz - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mil Mugan FK
Araz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Mil Mugan FK | Liga | Araz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.94 | 2.51 | ▲ 3.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 46% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 31% | 47% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 31% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 44% | 64% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 77% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Mil Mugan FK's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Araz. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Mil Mugan FK vs Araz?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Mil Mugan FK 2:2 Araz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mil Mugan FK vs Araz?
Mil Mugan FK score 0.94 goals per game on average and Araz 1.56. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Mil Mugan FK's matches and 69% of Araz's.
What form are Mil Mugan FK and Araz in?
Over the last 5 games Mil Mugan FK have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Araz 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mil Mugan FK vs Araz?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mil Mugan FK vs Araz: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.