Mil Mugan FK vs Karvan FK: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Mil Mugan FK played against Karvan FK in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The game was played on December 15, 2025. Final score: 1:1.

Recent form

Mil Mugan FK has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Karvan FK has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 0.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Mil Mugan FK scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.07. Karvan FK scores 0.71 and allows 2.21. Games in this league average 2.50 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 21% of Mil Mugan FK's games and 50% of Karvan FK's. The Over 2.5 rates are 36% and 64%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Mil Mugan FK has the higher season xG average, 0.93 to 0.87 per game. Mil Mugan FK takes 7.5 shots per game, while Karvan FK takes 6.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Mil Mugan FK leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Karvan FK leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.36 after halftime.

When the teams score

Mil Mugan FK's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Karvan FK, it is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Premyer Liqası games average 2.50 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Stats by half

1 : 1
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

48Possession (%)52
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
13Shots4
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
4Shots on target1
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
1.57xG0.62
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
10Corners1
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
64Dangerous attacks40
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
3Fouls17
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
1Cards4
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
1Goals scored / game0.71
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
1.07Goals allowed / game2.21
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
41%Average possession44%
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
3.07Shots on target / game1.79
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

7.5Shots per game6.5
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
3.07Shots on target1.79
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
13.3%Shot conversion11%
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
41%Possession44%
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
0.93xG for0.87
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
1.59xG against1.68
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK

Shooting quality

Mil Mugan FK: Counter-attackingKarvan FK: Balanced
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
Accuracy (shots on target)41%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Mil Mugan FK
LLWLL
Season result split
36% W21% R43% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-6
1.29 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-3-2
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
DWDDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 0.80Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Karvan FK
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
7% W14% R79% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-11
0.36 pts / game · goal difference -21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-4
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LDLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 0.83Opponent xG: 1.85BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mil Mugan FK is 41% better for: goals scored per game.

1 goals / game - Mil Mugan FK · 0.71 goals / game - Karvan FK

Mil Mugan FK is 107% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.07 goals / game - Mil Mugan FK · 2.21 goals / game - Karvan FK

Mil Mugan FK scoring profile: strong

Mil Mugan FK scores in 50% of games (7 of 14 meczów), while Karvan FK keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 14 meczów).

Karvan FK scoring profile: mixed

Karvan FK scores in 50% of games (7 of 14 meczów), while Mil Mugan FK keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 meczów).

14Goals scored (season)10
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
15Goals conceded (season)31
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
2.07Average goals per game2.93
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
3Goals scored (last 5)4
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
9Goals conceded (last 5)12
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal50%
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
29%2 goals14%
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
21%3 goals7%
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
0%4 goals0%
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK

How often they concede at least...

64%1 goal93%
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
36%2 goals86%
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
7%3 goals36%
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
0%4 goals7%
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

44%
League average

Goal patterns

7%BTTS at half-time14%
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
7%BTTS in both halves0%
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
21%Scored in both halves14%
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK

BTTS and goal count

14%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
21%Min. 3 goals without BTTS21%
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
20%BTTS - last 560%
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

43%Min. 1 goal before half-time64%
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
7%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK

2nd half

93%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time64%
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time36%
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mil Mugan FK is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.29 pts / game - Mil Mugan FK · 1.14 pts / game - Karvan FK

Mil Mugan FK - half-time state
21% leading64% draw14% trailing
Karvan FK - half-time state
21% leading50% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.29Points per game (1st half)1.14
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
0.29Goals scored (1st half)0.36
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
0.21Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
0.5Average goals (1st half)0.93
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
79%Clean sheet before half-time57%
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
71%No goal before half-time64%
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK

After half-time (2nd half)

1.36Points per game (2nd half)0.29
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.36
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
0.86Goals conceded (2nd half)1.64
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
1.57Average goals (2nd half)2
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
36%Clean sheet after half-time14%
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK
57%No goal after half-time71%
Mil Mugan FKKarvan FK

Mil Mugan FK - second-half results

43% W7% R50% P
18
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding171%

Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.7

Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Karvan FK - second-half results

0% W29% R71% P
16
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-18
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding33%

Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 7%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+1.1

Allows 1.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Mil Mugan FK - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.000.60
Goals scored / game0.20.4
Goals allowed / game0.21.6
Average goals per game0.42.0
1 goal20%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%0%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference0-6
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Karvan FK - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.800.00
Goals scored / game0.60.2
Goals allowed / game0.22.2
Average goals per game0.82.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%0%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+2-10
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Mil Mugan FK
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
1
0
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
5
46-60
4
0
61-75
5
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Karvan FK
ScoredConceded
0
4
0-15
2
0
16-30
3
4
31-45
1
5
46-60
2
8
61-75
2
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
36%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+20%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
25%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
25%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Mil Mugan FK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.66
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.59
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
78%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
88%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.69
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

Karvan FK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.81
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.69
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.53
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
58%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
173%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.36
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).

Teams vs league

Mil Mugan FKLigaKarvan FK
Average goals per game 2.072.50 2.93
Both teams scored 21%44% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 36%47% 64%
Clean sheets 36%32% 7%
Goal before half-time 43%63% 64%
Goal after half-time 93%77% 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.50
Average goals per game
44%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.28
Home goals / game
1.22
Away goals / game
+5%
Home attack advantage
+5%
Home defensive advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Karvan FKYellow cardShaquill Sno
  2. Karvan FKGoalVadim Abdullayev
  3. Karvan FKSubstitutionOn: Əli AbdullayevOff: Shaquill Sno
  4. Karvan FKYellow cardAraz Abdullayev
  5. Mil Mugan FKYellow cardRafael Ferreira Viegas
  6. Karvan FKYellow cardOlawale Doyeni
  7. Mil Mugan FKSubstitutionOn: Xəzər MahmudovOff: Luiz Fernando Silvestre Junior
  8. Karvan FKSubstitutionOn: Samuel DurrantOff: Uğur Cahangirov
  9. Mil Mugan FKSubstitutionOn: Abbas AğazadəOff: Yaw Moses
  10. Karvan FKYellow cardEltun Turabov

Head-to-head

Record from Mil Mugan FK's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Karvan FK. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Karvan FK
0 : 3
Mil Muğan FK

FAQ

What was the result of Mil Mugan FK vs Karvan FK?

The Premyer Liqası match finished Mil Mugan FK 1:1 Karvan FK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Mil Mugan FK vs Karvan FK?

Mil Mugan FK score 1.00 goals per game on average and Karvan FK 0.71. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 21% of Mil Mugan FK's matches and 50% of Karvan FK's.

What form are Mil Mugan FK and Karvan FK in?

Over the last 5 games Mil Mugan FK have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Karvan FK 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mil Mugan FK vs Karvan FK?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mil Mugan FK vs Karvan FK: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.