Millwall vs Bristol City: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Millwall played against Bristol City in Championship (England). The game was played on December 29, 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Recent form

Millwall has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Bristol City has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Millwall scores 1.09 goals per game and allows 1.35. Bristol City scores 1.39 and allows 1.09. Games in this league average 2.63 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 43% of Millwall's games and 48% of Bristol City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 43%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Bristol City has the higher season xG average, 1.48 to 1.42 per game. Millwall takes 12.5 shots per game, while Bristol City takes 13.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Millwall leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.61 goals per game after halftime. Bristol City leads at halftime in 48% and scores 0.52 after halftime.

When the teams score

Millwall's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For Bristol City, it is minutes 16-30 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Championship games average 2.63 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
1 : 1
Second half

Game stats

42Possession (%)58
MillwallBristol City
8Shots16
MillwallBristol City
2Shots on target3
MillwallBristol City
0.89xG1.62
MillwallBristol City
1Corners8
MillwallBristol City
32Dangerous attacks54
MillwallBristol City
15Fouls8
MillwallBristol City
4Cards1
MillwallBristol City

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

MillwallBristol City
1.09Goals scored / game1.39
MillwallBristol City
1.35Goals allowed / game1.09
MillwallBristol City
46%Average possession46%
MillwallBristol City
4.09Shots on target / game4.35
MillwallBristol City

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.52Shots per game13.7
MillwallBristol City
4.09Shots on target4.35
MillwallBristol City
8.7%Shot conversion10.2%
MillwallBristol City
46%Possession46%
MillwallBristol City
1.42xG for1.48
MillwallBristol City
1.4xG against1.53
MillwallBristol City

Shooting quality

Millwall: BalancedBristol City: Balanced
MillwallBristol City
Accuracy (shots on target)33%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Bristol City is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Millwall · 1.4 pts / game - Bristol City

Millwall
WDLLD
Season result split
43% W26% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-6-7
1.57 pts / game · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-2-4
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DWWLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Bristol City
LDLWW
Season result split
43% W26% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-6-7
1.57 pts / game · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-3-3
Last 5 away
2-1-2
DLWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.66Opponent xG: 1.82BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bristol City is 28% better for: goals scored per game.

1.09 goals / game - Millwall · 1.39 goals / game - Bristol City

Bristol City is 24% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.35 goals / game - Millwall · 1.09 goals / game - Bristol City

Millwall scoring profile: strong

Millwall scores in 74% of games (17 of 23 meczów), while Bristol City keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 meczów).

Bristol City scoring profile: strong

Bristol City scores in 74% of games (17 of 23 meczów), while Millwall keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 meczów).

25Goals scored (season)32
MillwallBristol City
31Goals conceded (season)25
MillwallBristol City
2.43Average goals per game2.48
MillwallBristol City
3Goals scored (last 5)6
MillwallBristol City
6Goals conceded (last 5)5
MillwallBristol City

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal74%
MillwallBristol City
26%2 goals35%
MillwallBristol City
9%3 goals22%
MillwallBristol City
0%4 goals9%
MillwallBristol City

How often they concede at least...

65%1 goal65%
MillwallBristol City
39%2 goals26%
MillwallBristol City
22%3 goals9%
MillwallBristol City
9%4 goals4%
MillwallBristol City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time17%
MillwallBristol City
4%BTTS in both halves4%
MillwallBristol City
9%Scored in both halves22%
MillwallBristol City

BTTS and goal count

26%Min. 3 goals and BTTS35%
MillwallBristol City
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
MillwallBristol City
40%BTTS - last 540%
MillwallBristol City

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
MillwallBristol City
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
MillwallBristol City
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
MillwallBristol City

2nd half

65%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
MillwallBristol City
48%Min. 2 goals after half-time30%
MillwallBristol City
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time4%
MillwallBristol City

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bristol City is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.26 pts / game - Millwall · 1.74 pts / game - Bristol City

Millwall - half-time state
26% leading48% draw26% trailing
Bristol City - half-time state
48% leading30% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.26Points per game (1st half)1.74
MillwallBristol City
0.48Goals scored (1st half)0.87
MillwallBristol City
0.52Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
MillwallBristol City
1Average goals (1st half)1.43
MillwallBristol City
61%Clean sheet before half-time61%
MillwallBristol City
61%No goal before half-time43%
MillwallBristol City

After half-time (2nd half)

1.26Points per game (2nd half)1.17
MillwallBristol City
0.61Goals scored (2nd half)0.52
MillwallBristol City
0.83Goals conceded (2nd half)0.52
MillwallBristol City
1.43Average goals (2nd half)1.04
MillwallBristol City
52%Clean sheet after half-time57%
MillwallBristol City
57%No goal after half-time61%
MillwallBristol City

Millwall - second-half results

26% W48% D26% L
29
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.26
PPG before half-time
Lead holding165%

Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Bristol City - second-half results

26% W39% D35% L
40
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.74
PPG before half-time
Lead holding90%

Leads at halftime in 48% of games and wins 43%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime-0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Millwall - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.601.40
Goals scored / game0.00.6
Goals allowed / game0.80.4
Average goals per game0.81.0
1 goal40%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-4+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Bristol City - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.20
Goals scored / game0.60.6
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game1.01.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Millwall
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
2
3
16-30
6
4
31-45
3
6
46-60
5
2
61-75
6
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Bristol City
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
8
6
16-30
8
3
31-45
5
3
46-60
3
4
61-75
4
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.46
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-59%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Millwall

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+8.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
77%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.57
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Bristol City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.44
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
77%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

MillwallLigaBristol City
Average goals per game 2.432.63 2.48
Both teams scored 43%59% 48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 43%51% 43%
Clean sheets 35%23% 35%
Goal before half-time 65%74% 78%
Goal after half-time 65%78% 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.63
Average goals per game
59%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.42
Home goals / game
1.20
Away goals / game
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defensive advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. MillwallGoalCamiel Neghli
  2. MillwallYellow cardAlfie Doughty
  3. MillwallYellow cardZack Sturge
  4. MillwallYellow cardTristan Crama
  5. MillwallSubstitutionOn: Ryan LeonardOff: Billy Mitchell
  6. Bristol CityGoalAdam RandellAssist: Ross McCrorie
  7. MillwallSubstitutionOn: Macaulay LangstaffOff: Raees Bangura-Williams
  8. MillwallSubstitutionOn: Dan McNamaraOff: Aidomo Emakhu
  9. MillwallGoalMacaulay Langstaff
  10. MillwallYellow cardThierno Ballo
  11. Bristol CityYellow cardVivaldo Borges dos Santos Neto
  12. Bristol CitySubstitutionOn: Yu HirakawaOff: Scott Twine

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

David WebbMatches officiated: 24
2.75Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 242%Home wins38%Draws21%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Millwall's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Bristol City. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of Millwall vs Bristol City?

The Championship match finished Millwall 2:1 Bristol City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Millwall vs Bristol City?

Millwall score 1.09 goals per game on average and Bristol City 1.39. The Championship average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Millwall's matches and 48% of Bristol City's.

What form are Millwall and Bristol City in?

Over the last 5 games Millwall have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Bristol City 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Millwall vs Bristol City?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.