Millwall vs Lincoln City: match statistics
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Millwall vs Lincoln City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Millwall plays Lincoln City in Championship (England). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: The Den.
Recent form
Millwall has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Lincoln City has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Millwall scores 1.60 goals per game and allows 1.60. Lincoln City scores 0.78 and allows 1.22. Games in this league average 2.88 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of Millwall's games and 44% of Lincoln City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 70% and 44%, compared with league averages of 66% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Millwall has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.31 per game. Millwall takes 13.9 shots per game, while Lincoln City takes 12.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Millwall leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.80 goals per game after halftime. Lincoln City leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.44 after halftime.
When the teams score
Millwall's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Lincoln City, it is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.88 goals. Both teams score in 66% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Millwall | Lincoln City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 24% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Lincoln City is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Millwall · 1.4 pts / game - Lincoln City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Millwall is 105% better for: goals scored per game.
1.6 goals / game - Millwall · 0.78 goals / game - Lincoln City
Lincoln City is 31% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.6 goals / game - Millwall · 1.22 goals / game - Lincoln City
Millwall scores in 80% of games (8 of 10 games), while Lincoln City keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 games).
Lincoln City scores in 78% of games (7 of 9 games), while Millwall keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Millwall
Over / Under - Lincoln City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Millwall is 53% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.7 pts / game - Millwall · 1.11 pts / game - Lincoln City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Millwall - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 40%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Lincoln City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Millwall
Lincoln City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Millwall | Liga | Lincoln City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.20 | 2.88 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 66% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 63% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 20% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 78% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 78% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Millwall and Lincoln City play?
Millwall face Lincoln City on October 17, 2026 in Championship at The Den. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Millwall vs Lincoln City?
Millwall score 1.60 goals per game on average and Lincoln City 0.78. The Championship average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Millwall's matches and 44% of Lincoln City's.
What form are Millwall and Lincoln City in?
Over the last 5 games Millwall have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Lincoln City 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Millwall vs Lincoln City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Millwall vs Lincoln City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.