Millwall vs Norwich City: match statistics
Millwall vs Norwich City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Millwall play Norwich City in Championship (England). The match date is 6 April 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Millwall: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Norwich City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Millwall scores 1.33 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Norwich City scores 1.37 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Millwall 48%, Norwich City 61%. Over 2.5: Millwall 46%, Norwich City 48%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Millwall has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.44. Millwall: 12.9 shots per match, Norwich City: 12.6.
Match halves
Millwall: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.81. Norwich City: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
Millwall: 76-90+ (17 goals). Norwich City: 61-75 (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Millwall holds a clear advantage in home metrics: at home they win 55% of matches, average 13.6 shots per game with 4.6 on target and an average xG of 1.56, while Norwich away win 40%, average 11.1 shots and have xG 1.28. This season Millwall scored 55 goals versus Norwich’s 53, and in the last 5 matches Millwall have scored 8 and conceded 5, whereas Norwich scored 6 and conceded 3 — Millwall creates more chances, but the visitors have defended more effectively recently. Additionally, Millwall have 45% clean sheets at home and average xG against 1.29, while Norwich have 25% clean sheets away and xG against 1.54, suggesting better defensive organisation from the hosts and greater susceptibility of the visitors to chances. Norwich compensate with higher finishing efficiency (13% vs 10%) and greater possession (51% vs 48%), so fewer opportunities can still be dangerous, reducing the likelihood of a one-sided scoreline. Considering Millwall’s 55% home win rate, the xG advantage (1.56 vs 1.28) and 45% clean sheets, I predict a Millwall win and estimate probabilities: home 60%, draw 22%, away 18%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Millwall | Norwich City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Millwall is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Millwall · 1.4 pts / match - Norwich City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Millwall is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Millwall · 1.22 goals / match - Norwich City
Millwall scores in 79% of matches (38 of 48 matches), while Norwich City keeps a clean sheet in 20% (9 of 46 matches).
Norwich City scores in 80% of matches (37 of 46 matches), while Millwall keeps a clean sheet in 40% (19 of 48 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Millwall
Over / Under — Norwich City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Millwall is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / match - Millwall · 1.39 pts / match - Norwich City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Millwall - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Norwich City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Millwall
Norwich City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Millwall | Liga | Norwich City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.40 | 2.59 | • 2.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 57% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 50% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 25% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 71% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 76% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Millwall 1 - 0 - 0 Norwich City. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Millwall vs Norwich City?
The Championship match finished Millwall 1:2 Norwich City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Millwall vs Norwich City?
Millwall score 1.33 goals per game on average and Norwich City 1.37. The Championship average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Millwall's matches and 61% of Norwich City's.
What form are Millwall and Norwich City in?
Over the last 5 games Millwall have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Norwich City 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Millwall vs Norwich City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.